UC Irvine vs. Cal Poly Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - March 5
05 March 2026

The UC Irvine Anteaters (20-10, 13-5 Big West) host the Cal Poly Mustangs (13-17, 9-9 Big West) at Bren Events Center, beginning at 10 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 5, 2026. The Anteaters are 8.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup's over/under is set at 155.5.
Last time out, UC Irvine won on Saturday 64-60 against UCSB. In the win, Jovan Jester Jr. led UC Irvine with 13 points. Cal Poly enters this matchup on the heels of an 80-64 loss to UCSD on Saturday. Hamad Mousa's team-high 19 points paced Cal Poly in the loss.
UC Irvine vs. Cal Poly Odds and Game Time
- When: Thursday, March 5, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET
- Where: Bren Events Center in Irvine, California
- Spread favorite: UC Irvine -8.5
- Moneyline favorite: UC Irvine -426
- Moneyline underdog: Cal Poly +320
- Over/Under: 155.5 points
How to watch UC Irvine vs. Cal Poly
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!
Betting the Over/Under: UC Irvine vs. Cal Poly
- UC Irvine and its opponents have combined to exceed Thursday's over/under of 155.5 points five times this season.
- This season, 20 of Cal Poly's games have finished with a combined score higher than 155.5 points.
- The Anteaters average 76.3 points per game against the Mustangs' 81.6, totaling 2.4 points over the contest's point total of 155.5.
- The 152.5 points per game these two teams allow their opponents to score combined this season are 3.0 less than the 155.5-point total in this contest.
- UC Irvine has seen a 143.8 average over/under in its games this season, 11.7 less than the over/under in this matchup.
- The over/under for this matchup is 11.1 points lower than the average over/under in Cal Poly's games this season (166.6 points).
Betting the Spread: UC Irvine vs. Cal Poly
- UC Irvine has 15 wins against the spread in 28 games this season.
- The Anteaters have an ATS record of 4-5 in their nine games as a favorite of 8.5 points or more so far this season.
- Cal Poly has played 28 games, with 15 wins against the spread.
- So far this year, the Mustangs have been installed as underdogs by an 8.5-point margin or more eight times and are 6-2 ATS in those games.
- UC Irvine is 5-7 against the spread, and 8-4 overall, at home.
- UC Irvine has two wins ATS (2-4) as a 8.5-point favorite or more at home.
- Cal Poly is 9-7 against the spread, and 6-10 overall, on the road.
Betting the Moneyline: UC Irvine vs. Cal Poly
- This season, UC Irvine has won 15 out of the 22 games, or 68.2%, in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
- This season, the Anteaters have won seven of their eight games when favored by at least -426 on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that UC Irvine has a 81% chance to win.
- Cal Poly has won in nine, or 37.5%, of the 24 contests it has been named as the moneyline underdog this year.
- The Mustangs have a win-loss record of 3-4 with odds of +320 or worse this year.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Cal Poly has a 23.8% chance of pulling out a win.
