Rays vs. Guardians Game 5 of the ALCS Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Props - Oct. 18
16 October 2026
The Tampa Bay Rays and Cleveland Guardians take the field in Game 5 of the ALCS at Progressive Field, on Sunday at 5:08 p.m. ET, with the series tied up at 2-2. Drew Rasmussen (16-5, 2.67 ERA) gets the start for the Rays, and Parker Messick (12-9, 2.56 ERA) is the expected starter for the Guardians.
With moneyline odds of -114 for the Rays and -104 for the Guardians, this could be a close contest. The game's over/under is 6.5.
Rays vs. Guardians Odds, Game Time
- Game day: Sunday, October 18, 2026
- Game time: 5:08 p.m. ET
- Location: Cleveland, Ohio
- Stadium: Progressive Field
- Favorite: Rays (-114)
- Underdog: Guardians (-104)
- Over/under: 6.5
How to Watch Rays vs. Guardians
- TV Channel: TBS, truTV and HBO Max
- Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)
Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!
Rays vs. Guardians: Betting the Moneyline
- The Rays have been the moneyline favorite 108 total times this season. They've gone 70-38 in those games.
- Cleveland has won in 32, or 48.5%, of the 66 contests it has been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
- Tampa Bay has entered 106 games this season favored by -114 or more and is 69-37 in those contests.
- This season, the Guardians have been victorious 32 times in 59 chances when named as an underdog of at least -104 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Rays have an implied moneyline win probability of 53.3% in this matchup.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Guardians have a 51% chance of pulling out a win.
Rays vs. Guardians: Betting the Spread & Total
- The Rays have combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 77 times this season for a 77-84-8 record against the over/under.
- Games involving Cleveland have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 82 of 171 chances this season.
- The Rays have covered 53.3% of their games this season, going 90-79-0 against the spread.
- The Guardians are 83-88-0 against the spread in their 171 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Dunkel Index Prediction for Rays vs. Guardians
- Pick OU:
Under (6.5)
- Prediction: Guardians 3 - Rays 2 Check out all the Dunkel Index MLB Baseball Picks!
