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Rays vs. Guardians Game 6 of the ALCS Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Props - Oct. 19

19 October 2026 By Data Skrive

The Tampa Bay Rays host the Cleveland Guardians for Game 6 of the ALCS, Monday at 8:08 p.m. ET. The Rays lead 3-2, and will aim to grab a spot in the Fall Classic. Freddy Peralta (10-11, 4.42 ERA) will start for the Rays, and Shawn Armstrong (2-1, 4.58 ERA) is expected to start for the Guardians.

Bookmakers have made the Rays a decent moneyline favorite (-156) at home over the Guardians (+129). The over/under for the Rays-Guardians game is 6.5.

Rays vs. Guardians Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Monday, October 19, 2026
  • Game time: 8:08 p.m. ET
  • Location: St. Petersburg, Florida
  • Stadium: Tropicana Field
  • Favorite: Rays (-156)
  • Underdog: Guardians (+129)
  • Over/under: 6.5

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Rays vs. Guardians: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Rays are 71-38 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 65.1% of those games).
  • Cleveland has been underdogs in 67 games this season and has come away with the win 32 times (47.8%) in those contests.
  • Tampa Bay has entered 31 games this season favored by -156 or more and is 20-11 in those contests.
  • The Guardians have a mark of 9-5 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by +129 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The implied moneyline probablility in this matchup gives the Rays a 60.9% chance to win.
  • The Guardians have an implied victory probability of 43.7% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Rays vs. Guardians: Betting the Spread & Total

  • The Rays have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 170 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 77 of those games (77-85-8).
  • Cleveland's games have gone over the total in 82 of its 172 chances.
  • The Rays have a 91-79-0 record ATS this season (covering 53.5% of the time).
  • The Guardians have posted a record of 83-89-0 against the spread this season.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Rays vs. Guardians

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