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2026 Freeway Insurance 500 Betting Preview

17 October 2026 By Dunkel Index

NASCAR heads to Phoenix Raceway on Sunday for the Freeway Insurance 500. Unlike previous years where Phoenix served as the season finale, the championship race has moved back to Homestead, making this weekend a high-stakes battle to secure a spot in the final round.

Open mind, wide open throttle: We go to our first NASCAR race - Ars Technica

FREEWAY INSURANCE 500 START TIME & RACE INFO

  • Event: Freeway Insurance 500
  • Where: Phoenix Raceway, Avondale, AZ
  • When: Sunday, October 18 at 3:00 PM ET
  • TV: USA

FREEWAY INSURANCE 500 FAVORITES

  • Ryan Blaney (Odds to Win: +370)
  • Christopher Bell (Odds to Win: +400)
  • Denny Hamlin (Odds to Win: +600)
  • Joey Logano (Odds to Win: +650)
  • Kyle Larson (Odds to Win: +750)

DUNKEL INDEX TOP 10

Here are the Top 10 drivers for this event, according to the Dunkel Index:

K. Larson49.477
C. Briscoe49.229
R. Blaney43.737
C. Bell43.364
D. Hamlin36.174
T. Reddick35.117
J. Logano34.126
B. Wallace26.986
C. Elliott26.986
C. Hocevar25.782

 

WINNER: KYLE LARSON (+750)

Larson captured his 2021 Cup Series Championship at Phoenix and has finished inside the top five in six of his last seven races at this 1-mile flat oval. Rated No. 1 in the Dunkel Index, Larson (+750) is our pick to take the checkered flag at Phoenix on Sunday.

MATCHUP: DENNY HAMLIN (-120) OVER JOEY LOGANO

Hamlin rated No. 5 in the Dunkel Index; Logano rated No. 7

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