Michigan vs. Arizona Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Semifinals

The No. 3 Michigan Wolverines (35-3), winners of nine of their last 10, face the No. 2 Arizona Wildcats (36-2), 10-0 in their past 10, on April 4, 2026 at Lucas Oil Stadium. The Wolverines are favorites by 1.5 points. The matchup has an over/under of 157.5.

Michigan came out on top in its last matchup 95-62 against Tennessee on Sunday. In the win, Yaxel Lendeborg paced Michigan with 27 points. Arizona is coming off of a 79-64 win over Purdue in its most recent game on Saturday. In Arizona's win, Koa Peat led the team with 20 points (adding seven rebounds and three assists).

Michigan vs. Arizona Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, April 4, 2026 at 8:49 p.m. ET
• Where: Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, Indiana
• Spread favorite: Michigan -1.5
• Moneyline favorite: Michigan -121
• Moneyline underdog: Arizona +101
• Over/Under: 157.5 points

How to watch Michigan vs. Arizona

• TV Channel: TBS
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Michigan vs. Arizona

• Michigan and its opponents have hit the over on this game's total (157.5 points) 17 times this season.
• A total of 21 of Arizona's games have ended with a combined score over 157.5 points this season.
• Together, the two teams combine for 174.2 points per game, 16.7 points more than the total of 157.5 for this game.
• This game's point total is 19.1 fewer points than the 138.4 these two teams combine to give up per game in 2024.
• On average, the over/under in Michigan's games is 0.2 fewer points than the over/under of 157.5 in this contest.
• The over/under for this contest is 2.2 points higher than the average over/under in Arizona's games this season of 155.3.

Betting the Spread: Michigan vs. Arizona

• In Michigan's 38 games this year, it has 19 wins against the spread.
• The Wolverines are 18-19 ATS when favored by 1.5 points or more this season.
• Arizona has played 38 games, with 24 wins against the spread.
• The Wildcats have been underdogs by 1.5 points or more three times this year and have covered the spread every time.
• Arizona is 16-1 overall, and 9-8 against the spread, at home.
• This season, as a 1.5-point underdog or greater at home, Arizona is 9-8 ATS.
• In away games, Michigan is 4-7 against the spread, and 11-0 overall.
• Away from home, as 1.5-point favorites or more, Michigan is 4-7 ATS.

Betting the Moneyline: Michigan vs. Arizona

• This season, Michigan has been moneyline favorites 37 times and won 34, or 91.9%, of those games.
• The Wolverines have a record of 34-3 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -121 on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Michigan has a 54.8% chance to win.
• Arizona has been listed as the moneyline underdog three times this season and has come away with a win in all of those games.
• The Wildcats have yet to lose in three games when named as moneyline underdog of +101 or worse.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Arizona has a 49.8% chance of pulling out a win.