Michigan vs. Arizona Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Semifinals

The No. 3 Michigan Wolverines (35-3) are favorites, by 1.5 points, against the No. 2 Arizona Wildcats (36-2) on April 4, 2026 at Lucas Oil Stadium. The matchup features two of the hottest teams in the nation, as the Wolverines have won four in a row, and are 9-1 in their past 10 games, while the Wildcats have won 13 straight, and have gone 10-0 in their past 10. The matchup has an over/under of 157.5 points.

In its last time out, Michigan won on Sunday 95-62 over Tennessee. Yaxel Lendeborg totaled 27 points, seven rebounds and four assists for Michigan. In its last matchup on Saturday, Arizona earned a 79-64 win against Purdue. In Arizona's win, Koa Peat led the team with 20 points (adding seven rebounds and three assists).

Michigan vs. Arizona Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, April 4, 2026 at 8:54 p.m. ET
• Where: Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, Indiana
• Spread favorite: Michigan -1.5
• Moneyline favorite: Michigan -109
• Moneyline underdog: Arizona -111
• Over/Under: 157.5 points

How to watch Michigan vs. Arizona

• TV Channel: TBS
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Michigan vs. Arizona

• Michigan and its opponents have combined to go over Saturday's total of 157.5 points 17 times this season.
• A total of 21 of Arizona's games have ended with a combined score over 157.5 points this season.
• Together, the two teams combine for 174.2 points per game, 16.7 points more than the point total of 157.5 for this matchup.
• The 138.4 points per game these two teams surrender to opponents combined this season are 19.1 less than the 157.5-point total in this contest.
• On average, the over/under in Michigan's games is 0.2 fewer points than the over/under of 157.5 in this matchup.
• Arizona's games have an average over/under of 155.3 points this season, 2.2 fewer points than the over/under for this game.

Betting the Spread: Michigan vs. Arizona

• In Michigan's 38 games this year, it has 19 wins against the spread.
• The Wolverines have been favored by 1.5 points or more 37 times this season and are 18-19 ATS in those contests.
• Against the spread, Arizona is 24-14-0 this year.
• The Wildcats have an against the spread record of 3-0 in their three games as an underdog of 1.5 points or more this year.
• At home this season, Arizona is 9-8 against the spread and 16-1 overall.
• At home, Arizona is 9-8 ATS as a 1.5-point underdog or greater.
• Away from home, Michigan is 11-0 overall and 4-7 against the spread.
• This year Michigan is 4-7 ATS as 1.5-point favorites or more away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: Michigan vs. Arizona

• This season, Michigan has won 34 out of the 37 games, or 91.9%, in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
• This season, the Wolverines have won 34 of their 37 games, or 91.9%, when favored by at least -109 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 52.2% chance of a victory for Michigan.
• Arizona has been listed as the moneyline underdog three times this season and has come away with a win in all of those games.
• The Wildcats have not lost in four games this year when given odds of -111 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Arizona has a 52.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.