Aces vs. Valkyries: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - Oct. 9

In Game 3 of the WNBA playoffs semifinals, the Las Vegas Aces will take on the Golden State Valkyries.

Las Vegas' most recent game ended in a loss to Golden State 83-81 on the road. A'ja Wilson (24 PTS, 7 REB, 56.3 FG%) and Chelsea Gray (19 PTS, 6 AST, 2 STL, 46.7 FG%, 3-8 from 3PT) led the Aces, and Tiffany Hayes (21 PTS, 2 STL, 60 FG%) and Gabby Williams (20 PTS, 41.2 FG%, 3-8 from 3PT) paced the Valkyries.

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Aces vs. Valkyries Predictions

For the upcoming contest between the Aces and Valkyries, computer-derived against-the-spread, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.

• Pick ATS: Valkyries (+ 3.5)
• Pick OU: Under (156.5)
  
• Prediction: Valkyries 77 - Aces 76

Aces vs. Valkyries Betting Lines

Grab a peek below at the most recent betting lines for the Aces-Valkyries matchup.

• Favorite: Aces (-3.5)
• Total: 156.5
• Aces Moneyline: -180
• Valkyries Moneyline: +146

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Aces Betting Insights

• Based on this game's moneyline, the Aces' implied win probability is 64.3%.
• Las Vegas has been a moneyline favorite 43 times this season. They've gone 32-11 in those games.
• The Aces are 27-22-0 ATS this season.
• Las Vegas and its opponents have gone over 156.5 combined points in 46 of 49 games this season.
• Aces contests this year have an average total of 175.4, 18.9 more points than this matchup's over/under.

Valkyries Betting Insights

• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Valkyries have a 40.7% chance to win.
• This season, Golden State has been the underdog 16 times and won nine, or 56.2%, of those games.
• The Valkyries have put together a 30-19-0 record against the spread this year.
• Golden State has played 27 games this season that have gone over 156.5 combined points scored.
• The average over/under for Valkyries outings this season is 161.5, 5.0 more points than this game's total.

Key Stats for Aces vs. Valkyries

• Las Vegas records 91.5 points per game, 16.4 more points than the 75.1 Golden State allows.
• The Aces are 31-8 when scoring more than 75.1 points.
• So far in 2026, Las Vegas' offense has been worse at home, where it scores 90.0 points per game, compared to road games, where it scores 92.9. On defense, it has been slightly tougher when playing at home, where it surrenders 85.5 points per game, versus road games, where it allows opponents to average 86.1.
• Golden State scores an average of 82.2 points per game, only 3.6 fewer points than the 85.8 Las Vegas gives up to opponents.
• When they score more than 85.8 points, the Valkyries are 16-1.
• At home, Golden State averages 82.5 points per game, 0.6 more than away (81.9). On defense, it gives up 74.6 points per game at home, 1.0 fewer than on the road (75.6).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.