Michigan vs. UConn Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Championship
05 April 2026

The No. 3 Michigan Wolverines (36-3), winners of nine of their last 10, battle the No. 7 UConn Huskies (34-5), 8-2 in their past 10, on April 6, 2026 at Lucas Oil Stadium. The Wolverines are favorites by 6.5 points. The matchup's point total is set at 146.5.
In its most recent outing on Saturday, Michigan claimed a 91-73 win against Arizona. Aday Mara recorded 26 points, nine rebounds and three assists for Michigan. UConn is coming off of a 71-62 win against Illinois in its most recent game on Saturday. In UConn's win, Tarris Reed Jr. led the team with 17 points (adding 11 rebounds and zero assists).
Michigan vs. UConn Odds and Game Time
- When: Monday, April 6, 2026 at 8:50 p.m. ET
- Where: Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, Indiana
- Spread favorite: Michigan -6.5
- Moneyline favorite: Michigan -310
- Moneyline underdog: UConn +242
- Over/Under: 146.5 points
How to watch Michigan vs. UConn
Betting the Over/Under: Michigan vs. UConn
- This season, Michigan and its opponents have combined to outscore Monday's over/under of 146.5 points 29 times.
- A total of 14 of UConn's games have ended with a combined score over 146.5 points this season.
- The Wolverines average 87.8 points per game against the Huskies' 76.9, totaling 18.2 points over the game's point total of 146.5.
- The 134.8 points per game these two teams allow their opponents to score on average this season are 11.7 fewer than the 146.5 over/under in this contest.
- This season, the average over/under for Michigan's games is 157.5 points, 11 more than the total of 146.5 points set for this contest.
- A difference of 4.4 points separates this matchup's over/under (146.5 points) and the average over/under in UConn's games (142.1) this season.
Betting the Spread: Michigan vs. UConn
- Michigan has played 39 games, with 20 wins against the spread.
- The Wolverines have an ATS record of 13-17 in their 30 games as a favorite of 6.5 points or more so far this season.
- UConn is 16-23-0 against the spread this year.
- At home this season, Michigan is 9-6 against the spread and 14-1 overall.
- As a 6.5-point favorite or greater at home, Michigan is 9-6 ATS.
- On the road, UConn is 9-2 overall and 5-6 against the spread.
- UConn is 3-5 ATS as 6.5-point underdogs or more on the road.
Betting the Moneyline: Michigan vs. UConn
- This season, Michigan has won 34 out of the 37 games, or 91.9%, in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
- The Wolverines are 29-1 this season when entering a game favored by -310 or more on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from Michigan, based on the moneyline, is 75.6%.
- UConn has won in each of the two match ups it has played as moneyline underdogs this season.
- The Huskies have yet to play a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +242.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that UConn has a 29.2% chance of pulling out a win.
