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Rays vs. Guardians Game 4 of the ALCS Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Props - Oct. 16

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16 October 2026 By Data Skrive

The Tampa Bay Rays and Cleveland Guardians take the field in Game 4 of the ALCS, Friday at 8 p.m. ET, at Progressive Field. The Guardians are ahead 2-1. Nick Martinez (15-6, 3.10 ERA) will start for the Rays, and Shawn Armstrong (2-1, 4.58 ERA) is expected to start for the Guardians.

Sportsbooks expect a close matchup between the Rays (-114 to win) and the Guardians (-107). The game's total is set at 6.5.

Rays vs. Guardians Odds, Game Time

Game day: Friday, October 16, 2026
Game time: 8 p.m. ET
Location: Cleveland, Ohio
Stadium: Progressive Field
Favorite: Rays (-114)
Underdog: Guardians (-107)
Over/under: 6.5

How to Watch Rays vs. Guardians

TV Channel: TBS, truTV and HBO Max
Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Rays vs. Guardians: Betting the Moneyline

The Rays have won 69 of the 107 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (64.5%).
Cleveland has come away with 32 wins in the 65 contests it has been listed as the underdogs in this season.
Tampa Bay has a record of 68-37 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -114 on the moneyline.
The Guardians have a win-loss record of 32-28 when favored by -107 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
Based on this contest's moneyline, the Rays' implied win probability is 53.3%.
The Guardians have an implied victory probability of 51.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Rays vs. Guardians: Betting the Spread & Total

In the 168 games in which bookmakers have set an over/under for the Rays, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 76 times (76-84-8).
Games involving Cleveland have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 81 of 170 chances this season.
The Rays have gone 89-79-0 against the spread this season.
In 170 games with a line this season, the Guardians have a mark of 83-87-0 against the spread.