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Guardians vs. Rays Game 3 of the ALCS Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Props - Oct. 15

14 October 2026 By Data Skrive

The Cleveland Guardians host the Tampa Bay Rays for Game 3 of the ALCS, at 1 p.m. ET on Thursday, with the series tied at a game each. Gavin Williams (14-8, 3.76 ERA) gets the start for the Guardians, and Griffin Jax (8-10, 3.28 ERA) is starting for the Rays.

The oddsmakers have spoken, making the Guardians (-134) a moderate moneyline favorite to defeat the Rays (+110) at home. The total for the Guardians-Rays game is set at 6.5.

Guardians vs. Rays Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Thursday, October 15, 2026
  • Game time: 1 p.m. ET
  • Location: Cleveland, Ohio
  • Stadium: Progressive Field
  • Favorite: Guardians (-134)
  • Underdog: Rays (+110)
  • Over/under: 6.5

How to Watch Guardians vs. Rays

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Guardians vs. Rays: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Guardians have won 57 of the 104 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (54.8%).
  • Tampa Bay has been pegged as an underdog in 57 games this year and has walked away with the win 30 times (52.6%) in those games.
  • Cleveland has a record of 35-23, a 60.3% win rate, when favored by -134 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Rays have a win-loss record of 11-11 when favored by +110 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • The Guardians have a 57.3% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline's implied probability.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rays have a 47.6% chance of pulling out a win.

Guardians vs. Rays: Betting the Spread & Total

  • The Guardians have combined with opponents to go over the total 81 times this season for an 81-86-2 record against the over/under.
  • Tampa Bay and its opponents have hit the over in 76 of its 167 games with a total this season.
  • The Guardians have covered 49.1% of their games this season, going 83-86-0 against the spread.
  • The Rays have posted a record of 88-79-0 against the spread this season.
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