Liberty vs. Dream: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - Oct. 9

In Game 3 of the WNBA playoffs semifinals, the New York Liberty will take on the Atlanta Dream.

New York's previous game ended in a loss to Atlanta 101-98 on the road. Breanna Stewart (35 PTS, 11 REB, 6 AST, 2 BLK, 52.4 FG%, 2-4 from 3PT) and Jonquel Jones (21 PTS, 8 REB, 4 BLK, 72.7 FG%, 2-4 from 3PT) led the Liberty, and Angel Reese (23 PTS, 7 REB, 2 BLK, 50 FG%) and Jordin Canada (23 PTS, 8 AST, 60 FG%, 3-6 from 3PT) paced the Dream.

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Liberty vs. Dream Predictions

Ahead of the upcoming contest between the Liberty and Dream, computer-calculated against-the-spread, over/under, and score predictions are below, per Dunkel Index.

• Pick ATS: Dream (+ 3.5)
• Pick OU: Over (172.5)
  
• Prediction: Dream 91 - Liberty 85

Liberty vs. Dream Betting Lines

Grab a peek below at the latest betting lines for the Liberty-Dream game.

• Favorite: Liberty (-3.5)
• Total: 172.5
• Liberty Moneyline: -152
• Dream Moneyline: +124

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Liberty Betting Insights

• The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Liberty a 60.3% chance to win.
• New York has won 64.7% of its games this season as a moneyline favorite (22-12).
• The Liberty have compiled a 19-29-0 ATS record so far this year.
• New York's games this season have featured more combined points than this contest's total of 172.5 points 29 times.
• The Liberty have an average total of 174.6 in their outings this year, 2.1 more points than this matchup's over/under.

Dream Betting Insights

• The implied probability of a win by the Dream based on the moneyline is 44.6%.
• This season, Atlanta has won three out of the five games in which it has been the underdog.
• The Dream have compiled a 25-23-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Atlanta has combined with its opponents to score more than 172.5 points in 27 of 48 games this season.
• The average over/under for Dream contests this season is 173.3, 0.8 more points than this game's point total.

Key Stats for Liberty vs. Dream

• The 89.6 points per game New York records are 5.1 more points than Atlanta gives up (84.5).
• The Liberty are 22-9 when scoring more than 84.5 points.
• New York has scored at a much lower clip at home than away from home in the 2026 season (86 points per game at home versus 93.2 on the road), and has given up fewer points at home than on the road (81.7 per home game versus 91.1 on the road).
• Atlanta averages just 4.9 more points per game (91.3) than New York gives up to opponents (86.4).
• When they score more than 86.4 points, the Dream are 22-5.
• At home, Atlanta is better offensively, scoring 94 points per game, compared to 88.7 on the road. But it is not as good defensively, allowing 87.1 points per game at home, and 81.9 on the road.

All Media on this page by Associated Press.