South Alabama vs. Southern Miss Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 27

The South Alabama Jaguars (21-9, 11-6 Sun Belt) host the Southern Miss Golden Eagles (15-15, 8-9 Sun Belt) at Mitchell Center, starting at 8:30 p.m. ET on Friday, February 27, 2026. The Jaguars are 4.5-point favorites in the game. The point total is 141.5 for the matchup.

South Alabama heads into this contest on the heels of an 89-54 win against UL Monroe on Wednesday. Adam Olsen recorded 29 points, five rebounds and two assists for South Alabama. Southern Miss enters this contest after an 89-84 loss to Arkansas State on Tuesday. Tylik Weeks totaled 21 points, three rebounds and nine assists for Southern Miss.

South Alabama vs. Southern Miss Odds and Game Time

• When: Friday, February 27, 2026 at 8:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Mitchell Center in Mobile, Alabama
• Spread favorite: South Alabama -4.5
• Moneyline favorite: South Alabama -213
• Moneyline underdog: Southern Miss +172
• Over/Under: 141.5 points

How to watch South Alabama vs. Southern Miss

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: South Alabama vs. Southern Miss

• This season, 15 of South Alabama's 28 games have gone over Friday's total of 141.5 points.
• This season, 16 games Southern Miss has played finished with a combined score over 141.5 points.
• Together, the two teams combine for 149 points per game, 7.5 points more than the point total of 141.5 for this matchup.
• This matchup's over/under is 1.7 fewer points than the 143.2 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2024.
• On average, South Alabama has seen a 144.0-point over/under in its games this season, 2.5 more points than the over/under in this contest.
• Southern Miss' games have an average over/under of 148.2 points this season, 6.7 more points than the over/under for this contest.

Betting the Spread: South Alabama vs. Southern Miss

• In South Alabama's 28 games this season, it has 15 wins against the spread.
• This season, the Jaguars have just one ATS win in seven games as a favorite of 4.5 points or more.
• Against the spread, Southern Miss is 13-15-0 this year.
• The Golden Eagles are 6-3 ATS when underdogs by 4.5 points or more this season.
• South Alabama is 8-3 overall, and 6-5 against the spread, at home.
• At home, South Alabama has one win ATS (1-3) as a 4.5-point favorite or more.
• Away from home, Southern Miss is 3-11 overall and 6-8 against the spread.
• Away from home, Southern Miss is unbeaten ATS (1-0) as 4.5-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: South Alabama vs. Southern Miss

• South Alabama has entered the game as moneyline favorites 14 times this season and won 11, or 78.6%, of those games.
• The Jaguars are 6-1 this season when entering a game favored by -213 or more on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that South Alabama has a 68.1% chance to win.
• Southern Miss has been victorious in five, or 26.3%, of the 19 contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
• The Golden Eagles have a win-loss record of 2-7 with odds of +172 or worse this year.
• Southern Miss has an implied victory probability of 36.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Dunkel Index Prediction for South Alabama vs. Southern Miss

• Pick ATS: South Alabama (- 4.5)
• Pick OU: Over (141.5)
  
• Prediction: South Alabama 85 - Southern Miss 71