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Golden Knights vs. Lightning NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - Oct. 20

20 October 2026 By Data Skrive

The Vegas Golden Knights and Tampa Bay Lightning -- both coming off victories in their last game -- will play on Tuesday at 10:30 p.m. ET, at T-Mobile Arena in Paradise. The sportsbooks see this as a tight one, with the Golden Knights -110 to win on the moneyline, and the Lightning at -110.

Vegas earned a 6-2 home victory against the Pittsburgh Penguins in its last game on Oct. 17. Mark Stone's three points (one goal and two assists) led the Golden Knights.

Tampa Bay won its most recent game 4-2 at home against the Vancouver Canucks on Oct. 17. The Lightning got two points apiece out of three skaters in that matchup, including Jake Guentzel (one goal and one assist) and Brayden Point (two assists).

Here is our pick for who will clinch the win in Tuesday's game.

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Golden Knights vs. Lightning Predictions & Pick

For insights on the upcoming game between the Vegas Golden Knights and Tampa Bay Lightning, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, per Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Lightning 2 - Golden Knights 1
  • Pick OU: Under 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 3 goals)

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Golden Knights vs. Lightning Moneylines

Grab a look below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Golden Knights-Lightning matchup.

  • Favorite: Golden Knights (-110)
  • Underdog: Lightning (-110)

Golden Knights Betting Insights

  • In the nine times this season the Golden Knights have been favored on the moneyline, they have finished 8-1 in those games.
  • Vegas is 8-1 (victorious in 88.9% of its games) when playing with moneyline odds of -110 or shorter.
  • The Golden Knights have a 52.4% chance (based on the moneyline's implied probability) to win this contest.
  • In seven of 10 matches this season, Vegas and its opponent have combined for more than 6.5 goals.

Lightning Betting Insights

  • The Lightning are an underdog for the first time this season.
  • Tampa Bay has not entered a game this season with longer odds on the moneyline than -110.
  • The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 52.4% chance of victory for the Lightning.
  • Tampa Bay and its opponent have combined for more than 6.5 goals twice this season.

Golden Knights Key Stats

  • Vegas leads the NHL with 41 total goals (4.1 per game).
  • The Golden Knights have given up 24 total goals (just 2.4 per game), the 10th-fewest in league play.
  • Its +17 goal differential is No. 1 in the league.
  • The 10 power-play goals the Golden Knights have recorded this season (on 36 power-play chances) are the second-most in the NHL.
  • Vegas has the league's sixth-best power-play conversion rate (27.78%).
  • The Golden Knights have scored two shorthanded goals this season.
  • Vegas has the league's 24th-ranked penalty-kill percentage (73.91%).
  • Vegas wins 52.1% of its faceoffs to rank ninth in the NHL.
  • The Golden Knights have a 13.8% shooting percentage as a team, which ranks sixth in the league.

Lightning Key Stats

  • With 25 goals (3.1 per game), Tampa Bay has the league's 17th-ranked offense.
  • The Lightning allow 2.6 goals per game (21 in total), the fourth-fewest in the league.
  • With a goal differential of +4, the team is 12th in the league.
  • With three power-play goals (on 28 chances), the Lightning are 27th in the NHL.
  • Tampa Bay has the league's 31st-ranked power-play percentage (10.71%).
  • Tampa Bay's has the 22nd-ranked penalty-kill percentage (75%).
  • Tampa Bay wins 47.4% of faceoffs, 24th-ranked in the NHL.
  • With a shooting percentage of 10.1%, the Lightning are 24th in the league.

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