San Diego State vs. UNLV Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - March 6

The San Diego State Aztecs (19-10, 13-6 MWC) square off against the UNLV Rebels (16-14, 11-8 MWC) as 10.5-point favorites on Friday, March 6, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET on CBS Sports Network. The matchup has an over/under of 153.5 points.

San Diego State heads into this matchup on the heels of an 86-77 loss to Boise State on Tuesday. Reese Dixon-Waters scored a team-high 23 points for San Diego State in the loss. UNLV's last contest on Tuesday ended in a 92-65 win against Utah State. Kimani Hamilton totaled 24 points, seven rebounds and three assists for UNLV.

San Diego State vs. UNLV Odds and Game Time

• When: Friday, March 6, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET
• Where: Viejas Arena in San Diego, California
• Spread favorite: San Diego State -10.5
• Moneyline favorite: San Diego State -599
• Moneyline underdog: UNLV +438
• Over/Under: 153.5 points

How to watch San Diego State vs. UNLV

• TV Channel: CBS Sports Network
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: San Diego State vs. UNLV

• San Diego State and its opponents have combined to outscore Friday's total (153.5 points) 10 times this season.
• There have been 19 UNLV games that finished with a combined score over 153.5 points this season.
• The point total for the contest of 153.5 is 5.6 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Aztecs (79.1) and Rebels (80.0).
• These two teams give up a combined 149.5 points per game, 4.0 less than this contest's over/under.
• This season the average over/under for San Diego State's games is 150.1 points, 3.4 fewer than the over/under of 153.5 set for this contest.
• The over/under for this contest is 5.0 points lower than the average over/under in UNLV's games this season (158.5 points).

Betting the Spread: San Diego State vs. UNLV

• In San Diego State's 28 games this season, it has 14 wins against the spread.
• The Aztecs are 5-4 ATS when favored by 10.5 points or more this season.
• In UNLV's 29 games this season, it has 14 wins against the spread.
• The Rebels have been underdogs by 10.5 points or more three times this season and have covered the spread twice.
• San Diego State is 12-2 overall, and 7-7 against the spread, at home.
• As a 10.5-point favorite or greater at home, San Diego State is 3-4 ATS.
• On the road, UNLV is 6-5 against the spread, and 6-5 overall.
• UNLV is unbeaten ATS (1-0) as 10.5-point underdogs or more on the road.

Betting the Moneyline: San Diego State vs. UNLV

• San Diego State has been the moneyline favorite in 20 games this season and won 16 (80%) of those contests.
• The Aztecs have entered nine games this season favored by -599 or more and are 8-1 in those contests.
• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 85.7% chance of a victory for San Diego State.
• UNLV has come away with eight wins in the 16 contests it has been listed as the moneyline underdog this season.
• This season, the Rebels have been victorious two times in three chances when named as an underdog of at least +438 or longer on the moneyline.
• UNLV has an implied victory probability of 18.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Dunkel Index Prediction for San Diego State vs. UNLV

• Pick ATS: San Diego State (- 10.5)
• Pick OU: Over (153.5)
  
• Prediction: San Diego State 87 - UNLV 73