76ers vs. Heat Dunkel NBA Picks, Predictions and Odds - Feb. 26

The Philadelphia 76ers (32-26) play the Miami Heat (31-28) on February 26, 2026. The matchup airs on FDSSUN and NBCS-PH.

Thursday's matchup between the 76ers and the Heat features the 76ers as moderate 2.5-point favorites. The over/under for the game is set at 239.5.

76ers vs. Heat Odds and Game Time

• Game day: Thursday, February 26, 2026
• Game time: 7 p.m. ET
• Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• Arena: Xfinity Mobile Arena
• Total: 239.5 points
• Spread: 76ers -2.5
• Moneyline: 76ers (-152), Heat (+128)

How to watch 76ers vs. Heat

• TV Channel: FDSSUN, NBCS-PH

Betting the Over/Under: 76ers vs. Heat

• 76ers games this season have gone over this contest's total of 239.5 points 19 times.
• The Heat have played 27 games this season that finished with a combined score higher than 239.5 points.
• These teams average 236.6 points per game combined, 2.9 less than this game's total.
• Opponents of these two teams combine to score 233 points per game, 6.5 fewer points than this matchup's over/under.

Betting the Spread: 76ers vs. Heat

• Philadelphia has compiled a 30-27-1 ATS record so far this year.
• The 76ers have been favored by 2.5 points or more 22 times this season, and covered the spread in 14 of those games.
• The Heat have put together a 34-24-1 record against the spread this year.
• When playing as at least 2.5-point underdogs this year, Miami has an ATS record of 14-9-1.
• At home this season, the 76ers are 12-17-1 against the spread and 15-15 overall.
• At home, as a 2.5-point favorite or greater, Philadelphia is 7-7 ATS.
• In away games, the Heat are 19-11-1 against the spread, and 14-17 overall.
• As 2.5-point underdogs or more on the road, Miami is 6-3 ATS.

Betting the Moneyline: 76ers vs. Heat

• The 76ers have been favored on the moneyline 34 total times this season. They've finished 23-11 in those games.
• The Heat have entered the game as underdogs 29 times this season and won 13, or 44.8%, of those games.
• When it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -152 or shorter, Philadelphia has a record of 17-3 (85% win percentage).
• This season, Miami has won eight of its 21 games, or 38.1%, when it is the underdog by at least +128 on the moneyline.
• Based on this game's moneyline, the 76ers' implied win probability is 60.3%.

Dunkel Index Prediction for 76ers vs. Heat

• Pick ATS: 76ers (- 2.5)
• Pick OU: Over (239.5)
  
• Prediction: 76ers 127 - Heat 120
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NBA Picks!