Oilers vs. Senators NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - March 3
03 March 2026

The Edmonton Oilers (29-24-8) host the Ottawa Senators (29-22-8) on Tuesday, March 3, with the Oilers coming off a defeat in their last game and the Senators a victory. Oilers (-120) versus Senators (+100) looks pretty close, according to the moneyline odds.
Edmonton was handed a 5-4 defeat on the road its last time out on Feb. 28 against the San Jose Sharks. The Oilers got three points each out of Connor McDavid (three assists) and Evan Bouchard (one goal and two assists).
Ottawa won on the road in its last game on Feb. 28, 5-2 over the Toronto Maple Leafs. Dylan Cozens' three points (two goals and one assist) in that matchup led the Senators.
Ahead of this matchup, here is who we expect to emerge victorious in Tuesday's hockey game.
Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!Oilers vs. Senators Predictions & Pick
For predictions on the upcoming game between the Edmonton Oilers and Ottawa Senators, computer-derived moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.
- Prediction: Senators 3 - Oilers 2
- Pick OU:
Under 6.5
(Dunkel projecting 5.02 goals)
Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.
Oilers vs. Senators Moneylines
Grab a look below at the most up-to-date moneylines for the Oilers-Senators game.
- Favorite: Oilers (-120)
- Underdog: Senators (+100)
Oilers Betting Insights
- The Oilers have gone 27-26 this season when favored on the moneyline.
- Edmonton is 25-25 in games it has played with moneyline odds of -120 or shorter (50.0% win percentage).
- The Oilers' implied moneyline win probability is 54.5% in this matchup.
- Edmonton and its opponent have combined to score more than 6.5 goals in 37 of 61 games this season.
Senators Betting Insights
- The Senators have been an underdog in 17 games this season, and won six (35.3%).
- Ottawa has gone 6-10, a 37.5% win rate, when it's been set as an underdog of +100 or more by bookmakers this season.
- The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 50.0% chance of victory for the Senators.
- Ottawa has played 31 games this season that finished with over 6.5 goals.
Oilers Key Stats
- Edmonton's 215 total goals (3.5 per game) rank second in the league.
- Defensively, the Oilers are conceding 203 total goals (3.3 per game) to rank 27th in league action.
- Its +12 goal differential ranks 13th in the league.
- The 54 power-play goals the Oilers have put up this season (on 167 power-play chances) lead the NHL.
- Edmonton's 32.34% power-play conversion rate leads the league.
- The five shorthanded goals the Oilers have scored this season rank 11th among NHL teams.
- Edmonton has the league's 25th-ranked penalty-kill percentage (77.51%).
- Edmonton has the fourth-best faceoff win percentage in the NHL, at 52.7%.
- The Oilers shoot 11.8% as a team (sixth in the league).
Senators Key Stats
- Ottawa has 194 goals this season (3.3 per game), 13th in the NHL.
- The Senators give up 3.2 goals per game (188 in total), 21st in the league.
- it has the 15th-ranked goal differential in the league at +6.
- The Senators have 45 power-play goals (fourth-most in NHL) on 190 chances.
- Ottawa has the league's eighth-best power-play percentage (23.68%).
- In terms of shorthanded goals, the Senators have three.
- Ottawa's has the 29th-ranked penalty-kill percentage (73.1%).
- Ottawa wins 54.8% of faceoffs, third-best in the NHL.
- The 11.5% shooting percentage of the Senators is 11th in the league.
