Northwestern State vs. Incarnate Word Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 23

In a game featuring one of the struggling teams in college basketball, the Incarnate Word Cardinals (11-17, 6-13 Southland) battle the Northwestern State Demons (9-19, 7-12 Southland) at Prather Coliseum on February 23, 2026. The Cardinals are 2-8 in their past 10 games. They enter this matchup as underdogs by 2.5 points. The over/under is set at 140.5 in the matchup.

Northwestern State took care of business in its last game 71-53 against Houston Christian on Saturday. In Northwestern State's win, Micah Thomas led the way with a team-high 23 points (adding one rebound and one assist). In its most recent matchup on Saturday, Incarnate Word claimed an 82-73 victory against East Texas A&M. Tahj Staveskie recorded 33 points, three rebounds and five assists for Incarnate Word.

Northwestern State vs. Incarnate Word Odds and Game Time

• When: Monday, February 23, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Prather Coliseum in Natchitoches, Louisiana
• Spread favorite: Northwestern State -2.5
• Moneyline favorite: Northwestern State -146
• Moneyline underdog: Incarnate Word +119
• Over/Under: 140.5 points

How to watch Northwestern State vs. Incarnate Word

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Northwestern State vs. Incarnate Word

• A total of 14 of Northwestern State's games this season have gone over Monday's total of 140.5 points.
• There have been 16 Incarnate Word games that ended with a combined score higher than 140.5 points this season.
• The Demons average 70.1 points per game against the Cardinals' 75.5, totaling 5.1 points over the contest's total of 140.5.
• The 148.4 points per game these two teams allow to opponents combined this season are 7.9 more than the 140.5-point over/under in this contest.
• This season, the average over/under for Northwestern State's games is 143.8 points, 3.3 more than the total of 140.5 points set for this contest.
• Incarnate Word's games have an average over/under of 150.3 points this season, 9.8 more points than the over/under for this game.

Betting the Spread: Northwestern State vs. Incarnate Word

• Against the spread, Northwestern State is 16-10-0 this year.
• This season, the Demons have one against the spread win in two games as a favorite of 2.5 points or more.
• Incarnate Word is 9-16-0 against the spread this season.
• So far this year, the Cardinals have been installed as underdogs by a 2.5-point margin or more 10 times and are 6-4 ATS in those games.
• At home this season, Northwestern State is 5-6 overall and 7-4 against the spread.
• Northwestern State has one win ATS (1-1) as a 2.5-point favorite or greater at home.
• Incarnate Word is 4-9 against the spread, and 2-11 overall, in away games.

Betting the Moneyline: Northwestern State vs. Incarnate Word

• This season, Northwestern State has won two out of the three games in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
• The Demons have played as a favorite of -146 or more twice this season and split those games.
• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 59.3% chance of a victory for Northwestern State.
• Incarnate Word has been a moneyline underdog in 12 games this season and has come away with the win three times (25%) in those contests.
• The Cardinals have a mark of 3-7 in contests where sportsbooks give them odds of +119 or worse on the moneyline.
• Incarnate Word has an implied victory probability of 45.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.