Northern Iowa vs. Drake Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - March 1

In a matchup featuring one of the struggling teams in college basketball, the Drake Bulldogs (12-18, 6-13 MVC) battle the Northern Iowa Panthers (18-12, 10-9 MVC) at Knapp Center on March 1, 2026. The Bulldogs have lost eight in a row and are 2-8 in their past 10 games. They enter this matchup as underdogs by 4.5 points. The matchup's point total is set at 138.5.

Northern Iowa fell in its most recent matchup 71-69 against Illinois State on Wednesday. In the loss, Trey Campbell led Northern Iowa with 13 points. Drake is coming off of a 74-71 loss to Valparaiso in its most recent outing on Wednesday. Owen Larson's team-high 18 points paced Drake in the loss.

Northern Iowa vs. Drake Odds and Game Time

• When: Sunday, March 1, 2026 at 3 p.m. ET
• Where: Knapp Center in Des Moines, Iowa
• Spread favorite: Northern Iowa -4.5
• Moneyline favorite: Northern Iowa -195
• Moneyline underdog: Drake +158
• Over/Under: 138.5 points

How to watch Northern Iowa vs. Drake

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Northern Iowa vs. Drake

• Northern Iowa and its opponents have hit the over on this game's total (138.5 points) 12 times this season.
• There have been 21 Drake games that finished with a combined score higher than 138.5 points this season.
• The Panthers average 69.1 points per game against the Bulldogs' 76, amounting to 6.6 points over the game's point total of 138.5.
• This game's over/under is 1.9 fewer points than the 136.6 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2024.
• On average, the over/under in Northern Iowa's games is 8.0 fewer points than the over/under of 138.5 in this matchup.
• A difference of 12.7 points separates the average over/under in Drake's games (151.2 points) and this game's over/under (138.5).

Betting the Spread: Northern Iowa vs. Drake

• Against the spread, Northern Iowa is 14-14-0 this year.
• The Panthers are 9-7 ATS when favored by 4.5 points or more this season.
• Drake has eight wins against the spread in 28 games this year.
• The Bulldogs are 5-6 ATS when underdogs by 4.5 points or more this year.
• At home this season, Drake is 4-10 overall and 3-11 against the spread.
• At home, as a 4.5-point underdog or more, Drake has one win ATS (1-5).
• This season on the road, Northern Iowa is 6-4 against the spread and 5-5 overall.
• Northern Iowa is 3-0 ATS as 4.5-point favorites or more away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: Northern Iowa vs. Drake

• This season, Northern Iowa has been moneyline favorites 22 times and won 14, or 63.6%, of those games.
• The Panthers have a record of 13-3, a 81.2% win rate, when favored by -195 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 66.1% chance of a victory for Northern Iowa.
• Drake has been a moneyline underdog in 17 games this season and has come away with the win five times (29.4%) in those contests.
• This year, the Bulldogs have won four of 12 games when listed as at least +158 or worse on the moneyline.
• Drake has an implied victory probability of 38.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Northern Iowa vs. Drake

• Pick ATS: Northern Iowa (- 4.5)
• Pick OU: Under (138.5)
  
• Prediction: Northern Iowa 73 - Drake 64