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North Carolina vs. Clemson Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - March 3

03 March 2026 By Data Skrive

In a game featuring one of the hottest squads in college basketball, the No. 17 North Carolina Tar Heels (23-6, 11-5 ACC, 8-2 in their last 10) face the Clemson Tigers (21-8, 11-5 ACC) at Dean E. Smith Center on March 3, 2026. The Tar Heels are favorites by 3.5 points. The point total in the matchup is set at 142.

North Carolina came out on top in its last outing 89-82 against Virginia Tech on Saturday. Henri Veesaar scored a team-high 26 points for North Carolina in the victory. Clemson heads into this matchup after an 80-75 win over Louisville on Saturday. In Clemson's win, Jestin Porter led the way with 16 points (adding three rebounds and three assists).

North Carolina vs. Clemson Odds and Game Time

  • When: Tuesday, March 3, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
  • Where: Dean E. Smith Center in Chapel Hill, North Carolina
  • Spread favorite: North Carolina -3.5
  • Moneyline favorite: North Carolina -175
  • Moneyline underdog: Clemson +138
  • Over/Under: 142 points

How to watch North Carolina vs. Clemson

Betting the Over/Under: North Carolina vs. Clemson

  • This season, North Carolina's games have gone over this matchup's 142-point total 20 times.
  • A total of 11 of Clemson's games have finished with a combined score over 142 points this season.
  • Together, the two teams combine for 155.6 points per game, 13.6 points more than the point total of 142 for this matchup.
  • These two teams give up a combined 137 points per game, 5.0 points less than this contest's over/under.
  • On average, North Carolina has seen a 152.0-point over/under in its games this season, 10.0 more points than the over/under in this contest.
  • The over/under for this game is 1.3 points more than the average over/under in Clemson's games this season (140.7 points).
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Betting the Spread: North Carolina vs. Clemson

  • North Carolina is 15-14-0 against the spread this season.
  • This season, the Tar Heels have an against-the-spread record of 9-10 in their 19 games as a favorite of 3.5 points or more.
  • Against the spread, Clemson is 14-14-1 this year.
  • The Tigers have been underdogs by 3.5 points or more three times this year and have covered the spread twice.
  • North Carolina is 17-0 overall, and 10-7 against the spread, at home.
  • At home, as a 3.5-point favorite or more, North Carolina is 7-7 ATS.
  • This year away from home, Clemson is 6-4 against the spread and 6-4 overall.
  • This year, as 3.5-point underdogs or more away from home, Clemson is 3-2 ATS.

Betting the Moneyline: North Carolina vs. Clemson

  • North Carolina has been the moneyline favorite in 20 games this season and won 17 (85%) of those contests.
  • The Tar Heels have a record of 15-2, a 88.2% win rate, when favored by -175 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 63.6% chance of a victory for North Carolina.
  • Clemson has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in four games this year and has walked away with the win one time (25%) in those games.
  • The Tigers have won all of their three games in which they were named as at least a +138 moneyline underdog.
  • Clemson has an implied victory probability of 42% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

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