New Mexico State vs. Jacksonville State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - March 5
05 March 2026

The New Mexico State Aggies (13-15, 6-12 CUSA) host the Jacksonville State Gamecocks (14-15, 9-9 CUSA) at Pan American Center, starting at 9 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 5, 2026. The Aggies are 4.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup has an over/under set at 142.5 points.
New Mexico State fell in its most recent game 86-85 in OT against Middle Tennessee on Saturday. Jemel Jones recorded 34 points, seven rebounds and one assist for New Mexico State. Jacksonville State lost its last matchup 81-78 against Liberty on Saturday. Jacksonville State got a team-high 21 points from Mostapha El Moutaouakkil in the loss.
New Mexico State vs. Jacksonville State Odds and Game Time
- When: Thursday, March 5, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET
- Where: Pan American Center in Las Cruces, New Mexico
- Spread favorite: New Mexico State -4.5
- Moneyline favorite: New Mexico State -235
- Moneyline underdog: Jacksonville State +192
- Over/Under: 142.5 points
How to watch New Mexico State vs. Jacksonville State
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!
Betting the Over/Under: New Mexico State vs. Jacksonville State
- This season, 18 of New Mexico State's 25 games have gone over Thursday's over/under of 142.5 points.
- This season, 11 games Jacksonville State has played finished with a combined score over 142.5 points.
- The Aggies average 75.6 points per game against the Gamecocks' 73.2, totaling 6.3 points over the contest's total of 142.5.
- These two teams surrender a combined 140.4 points per game, 2.1 points less than this contest's over/under.
- On average, New Mexico State has seen a 147.8-point over/under in its games this season, 5.3 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
- The over/under for this contest is 0.9 points more than the average over/under in Jacksonville State's games this season (141.6 points).
Betting the Spread: New Mexico State vs. Jacksonville State
- New Mexico State is 12-13-0 against the spread this season.
- The Aggies have been favored by 4.5 points or more eight times this season and are 4-4 ATS in those matchups.
- Jacksonville State has played 26 games, with 11 wins against the spread.
- The Gamecocks have an ATS record of 6-3 in their nine games when underdogs by 4.5 points or more this year.
- New Mexico State is 5-5 against the spread, and 5-5 overall, at home.
- New Mexico State has two wins ATS (2-4) as a 4.5-point favorite or greater at home.
- Jacksonville State is 5-5-1 against the spread, and 4-7 overall, in away games.
Betting the Moneyline: New Mexico State vs. Jacksonville State
- New Mexico State has been the moneyline favorite in 13 games this season and won six (46.2%) of those contests.
- The Aggies have a record of 3-3 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -235 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from New Mexico State, based on the moneyline, is 70.1%.
- Jacksonville State has been victorious in six, or 42.9%, of the 14 contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
- This season, the Gamecocks have been victorious one time in three chances when named as an underdog of at least +192 or worse on the moneyline.
- Jacksonville State has an implied victory probability of 34.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
