Montana vs. Sacramento State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 26

The Montana Grizzlies (14-14, 8-7 Big Sky) hit the court against the Sacramento State Hornets (9-18, 5-10 Big Sky) as 7.5-point favorites on Thursday, February 26, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The matchup has a point total of 162.5.

Montana lost its most recent game 92-72 against Weber State on Saturday. In Montana's loss, Money Williams led the way with a team-high 15 points (adding five rebounds and six assists). Sacramento State dropped its most recent matchup 86-80 against Idaho on Saturday. Mark Lavrenov recorded 20 points, 12 rebounds and zero assists for Sacramento State.

Montana vs. Sacramento State Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, February 26, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET
• Where: Dahlberg Arena in Missoula, Montana
• Spread favorite: Montana -7.5
• Moneyline favorite: Montana -346
• Moneyline underdog: Sacramento State +265
• Over/Under: 162.5 points

How to watch Montana vs. Sacramento State

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Montana vs. Sacramento State

• This season, eight of Montana's 24 games have gone over Thursday's total of 162.5 points.
• There have been 13 Sacramento State games that ended with a combined score higher than 162.5 points this season.
• Together, the two teams combine for 157.3 points per game, 5.2 fewer points than the point total of 162.5 for this game.
• These two teams surrender a combined 157.2 points per game, 5.3 less than this contest's over/under.
• On average, the over/under in Montana's games is 10.7 fewer points than the over/under of 162.5 in this matchup.
• Sacramento State's games have an average over/under of 162.7 points this season, 0.2 more points than the over/under for this matchup.

Betting the Spread: Montana vs. Sacramento State

• Against the spread, Montana is 12-12-0 this season.
• This season, the Grizzlies won ATS in their only game as a favorite of 7.5 points or more.
• In Sacramento State's 25 games this year, it has 11 wins against the spread.
• The Hornets are 4-7 ATS when underdogs by 7.5 points or more this season.
• At home this year, Montana is 6-5 overall and 6-5 against the spread.
• At home, as a 7.5-point favorite or greater, Montana is unbeaten ATS (1-0).
• Sacramento State is 0-14 overall, and 4-10 against the spread, in away games.

Betting the Moneyline: Montana vs. Sacramento State

• Montana has been the moneyline favorite in 14 games this season and won seven (50%) of those contests.
• The Grizzlies have not entered a game this season as a bigger favorite on the moneyline than the -346 odds on them winning this game.
• Montana has a 77.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Sacramento State has been a moneyline underdog in 21 games this season and has come away with the win three times (14.3%) in those contests.
• This season, the Hornets have been a moneyline underdog of -346 or more 11 times, losing every contest.
• Sacramento State has an implied victory probability of 27.4% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.