Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies Dunkel NBA Picks, Predictions and Odds - March 3

The Minnesota Timberwolves (38-23) will try to build on a three-game winning streak when hosting the Memphis Grizzlies (23-36) on March 3, 2026 at Target Center.

The Timberwolves take on the Grizzlies in a game that Minnesota is currently a sizable favorite by 14.5 points. The over/under is 236.5 points for the game.

Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies Odds and Game Time

• Game day: Tuesday, March 3, 2026
• Game time: 8 p.m. ET
• Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
• Arena: Target Center
• Total: 236.5 points
• Spread: Timberwolves -14.5
• Moneyline: Timberwolves (-901), Grizzlies (+610)

How to watch Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies

• TV Channel: FDSN, FDSSE

Betting the Over/Under: Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies

• The Timberwolves and their opponents have gone over 236.5 combined points in 24 of 61 games this season.
• The Grizzlies have combined with their opponent to score more than 236.5 points in 24 of 59 games this season.
• These two teams average a combined 234.8 points per game, 1.7 fewer points than this matchup's total.
• Opponents of these teams average 232.3 points per game combined, 4.2 fewer than this matchup's over/under.

Betting the Spread: Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies

• Minnesota has won 27 games against the spread this season, while failing to cover 34 times.
• The Timberwolves have been favored by 14.5 points or more three times this season, and covered the spread in one of those games.
• The Grizzlies are 27-31-1 ATS this season.
• Memphis has been an underdog by 14.5 points or more two times this season, and covered the spread in one of those matchups.
• The Timberwolves are 13-18 against the spread, and 20-11 overall, at home this year.
• At home, Minnesota has one win ATS (1-2) as a 14.5-point favorite or more.
• The Grizzlies are 11-19 overall, and 15-14-1 against the spread, away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies

• The Timberwolves have been the moneyline favorite 48 total times this season. They've gone 33-15 in those games.
• This season, the Grizzlies have won 11 out of the 40 games, or 27.5%, in which they've been the underdog.
• Minnesota has played as a moneyline favorite of -901 or shorter twice this season, and won both.
• Memphis has played as an underdog of +610 or more once this season and lost that game.
• Based on this game's moneyline, the Timberwolves' implied win probability is 90.0%.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies

• Pick ATS: Timberwolves (- 14.5)
• Pick OU: Over (236.5)
  
• Prediction: Timberwolves 130 - Grizzlies 112
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NBA Picks!