Iowa State vs. Texas Tech Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 28
27 February 2026

The No. 4 Iowa State Cyclones (24-4, 11-4 Big 12) enter as favorites by 7.5 points over the No. 16 Texas Tech Red Raiders (21-7, 11-4 Big 12) on February 28, 2026 at James H. Hilton Coliseum for a matchup of two of the top marksmen in college basketball. The Cyclones' Momcilovic buries 3.7 treys per game (second in the country), while the Red Raiders' Atwell makes 3.7 (second). The point total is set at 145.5 for the matchup.
Iowa State took care of business in its last outing 75-59 against Utah on Tuesday. Joshua Jefferson's team-leading 21 points led Iowa State in the victory. Texas Tech is coming off of an 80-68 victory against Cincinnati in its last game on Tuesday. Christian Anderson scored 31 points in Texas Tech's victory, leading the team.
Iowa State vs. Texas Tech Odds and Game Time
- When: Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 4 p.m. ET
- Where: James H. Hilton Coliseum in Ames, Iowa
- Spread favorite: Iowa State -7.5
- Over/Under: 145.5 points
How to watch Iowa State vs. Texas Tech
Betting the Over/Under: Iowa State vs. Texas Tech
- Iowa State and its opponents have combined to exceed Saturday's total of 145.5 points 15 times this season.
- This season, 17 games Texas Tech has played finished with a combined score higher than 145.5 points.
- The over/under for the contest of 145.5 is 19.3 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Cyclones (82.8) and Red Raiders (82.0).
- This matchup's over/under is 8.4 fewer points than the 137.1 these two teams combine to give up per game in 2024.
- Iowa State has a 147.8 average over/under in its games this season, 2.3 more points than the over/under in this contest.
- Texas Tech's games have an average over/under of 154.2 points this season, 8.7 more points than the over/under for this matchup.
Betting the Spread: Iowa State vs. Texas Tech
- Iowa State has 16 wins against the spread in 28 games this year.
- This season, the Cyclones have an against-the-spread record of 11-8 in their 19 games as a favorite of 7.5 points or more.
- Against the spread, Texas Tech is 15-13-0 this season.
- The Red Raiders have been underdogs by 7.5 points or more three times this season and have covered the spread every time.
- At home this year, Iowa State is 8-7 against the spread and 15-0 overall.
- At home, as a 7.5-point favorite or more, Iowa State is 7-7 ATS.
- On the road, Texas Tech is 4-4 against the spread, and 4-4 overall.
- Texas Tech is winless ATS (0-1) as 7.5-point underdogs or more on the road.
