Bradley vs. Valparaiso Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - MVC Tournament

The No. 2 seed Bradley Braves (20-11, 13-7 MVC) are favored by 4.5 points in their MVC Tournament matchup against the No. 7 seed Valparaiso Beacons (18-14, 11-9 MVC) on Friday at Enterprise Center, starting at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The winner will move one step closer to earning an automatic spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup's over/under is set at 134.5.

In its last time out, Bradley won on Sunday 87-78 against Murray State. Alex Huibregtse's team-high 21 points paced Bradley in the victory. Valparaiso is coming off of a 63-62 win against Indiana State in its last outing on Thursday. Rakim Chaney put up 18 points, five rebounds and five assists for Valparaiso.

Bradley vs. Valparaiso Odds and Game Time

• When: Friday, March 6, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
• Where: Enterprise Center in St. Louis, Missouri
• Spread favorite: Bradley -4.5
• Moneyline favorite: Bradley -196
• Moneyline underdog: Valparaiso +163
• Over/Under: 134.5 points

How to watch Bradley vs. Valparaiso

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Bradley vs. Valparaiso

• This season, 25 of Bradley's 30 games have gone over Friday's total of 134.5 points.
• In Valparaiso's 31 games this season, 21 finished with more combined points than Friday's over/under of 134.5.
• The point total for the matchup of 134.5 is 14.6 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Braves (77.5) and Beacons (71.6).
• These two teams give up a combined 144 points per game, 9.5 more than this contest's over/under.
• This season, the average over/under for Bradley's games is 150.5 points, 16.0 more than the total of 134.5 points set for this contest.
• The over/under for this matchup is 8.0 points lower than the average over/under in Valparaiso's games this season of 142.5.

Betting the Spread: Bradley vs. Valparaiso

• In Bradley's 30 games this season, it has 12 wins against the spread.
• The Braves have an against the spread record of 8-9 in their 17 games when favored by 4.5 points or more so far this season.
• Valparaiso has played 31 games, with 21 wins against the spread.
• This season, the Beacons have an ATS record of 9-4 in their 13 games as an underdog of 4.5 points or more.
• At home this year, Bradley is 7-8 against the spread and 13-2 overall.
• This year, as a 4.5-point favorite or more at home, Bradley is 6-8 ATS.
• On the road, Valparaiso is 10-4 against the spread, and 4-10 overall.
• Away from home, Valparaiso is winless ATS (0-1) as 4.5-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Bradley vs. Valparaiso

• Bradley has entered the game as moneyline favorites 20 times this season and won 16, or 80%, of those games.
• The Braves have a record of 14-2 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -196 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 66.2% chance of a victory for Bradley.
• Valparaiso has won in seven, or 36.8%, of the 19 contests it has been named as the moneyline underdog this year.
• The Beacons have a mark of 2-11 in contests where sportsbooks give them odds of +163 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Valparaiso has a 38% chance of walking away with the win.