Celtics vs. Mavericks Dunkel NBA Picks, Predictions and Odds - March 6

The Dallas Mavericks (21-41) will be trying to stop a five-game losing skid when hitting the road against the Boston Celtics (41-21) on March 6, 2026 at TD Garden.

Boston is a heavy 15.5-point favorite against Dallas when the Celtics face off with the Mavericks on Friday. The point total for the matchup is set at 223.5.

Celtics vs. Mavericks Odds and Game Time

• Game day: Friday, March 6, 2026
• Game time: 7 p.m. ET
• Location: Boston, Massachusetts
• Arena: TD Garden
• Total: 223.5 points
• Spread: Celtics -15.5
• Moneyline: Celtics (-1205), Mavericks (+750)

How to watch Celtics vs. Mavericks

• TV Channel: ESPN, NBCS-BOS

Betting the Over/Under: Celtics vs. Mavericks

• The Celtics and their opponents have combined to score more than 223.5 points in 30 of 62 games this season.
• The Mavericks have played 42 games this season that have gone over 223.5 combined points scored.
• These two teams average a combined 228 points per game, 4.5 more points than this matchup's total.
• Opponents of these two teams score 224.7 points per game combined, 1.2 more points than this contest's over/under.

Betting the Spread: Celtics vs. Mavericks

• Boston has covered 36 times in 62 chances against the spread this season.
• The Celtics have won their only game this season when playing as at least 15.5-point favorites.
• The Mavericks have compiled a 27-34-1 ATS record so far this year.
• Dallas has been an underdog by 15.5 points or more two times this year, and covered the spread in one of those games.
• The Celtics are 20-10 overall, and 15-15 against the spread, at home.
• Boston is unbeaten ATS (1-0) as a 15.5-point favorite or greater at home.
• On the road, the Mavericks are 7-22 overall and 11-18 against the spread.

Betting the Moneyline: Celtics vs. Mavericks

• The Celtics have been favored on the moneyline 46 total times this season. They've gone 33-13 in those games.
• This season, the Mavericks have won 12 out of the 42 games, or 28.6%, in which they've been the underdog.
• Boston has played as a moneyline favorite of -1205 or shorter in just one game this season, and won.
• Dallas has played as an underdog of +750 or more once this season and lost that game.
• Based on this game's moneyline, the Celtics' implied win probability is 92.3%.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Celtics vs. Mavericks

• Pick ATS: Celtics (- 15.5)
• Pick OU: Over (223.5)
  
• Prediction: Celtics 123 - Mavericks 104
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NBA Picks!