Alabama State vs. Alcorn State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - SWAC Tournament

The No. 10 seed Alabama State Hornets (10-21, 7-11 SWAC) and the No. 11 seed Alcorn State Braves (8-22, 7-11 SWAC) will look to advance in the SWAC tournament on Monday as they meet in the conference tournament at 2 p.m. ET on ESPN+. Alabama State is listed as a 5.5-point favorite to win this contest and advance closer to an automatic spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup has an over/under set at 142.5 points.

Alabama State heads into this game on the heels of a 65-63 loss to Grambling on Thursday. Micah Simpsom scored a team-best 15 points for Alabama State in the loss. Alcorn State's last game was an 83-48 loss to UAPB on Thursday. Tycen McDaniels scored a team-high 16 points for Alcorn State in the loss.

Alabama State vs. Alcorn State Odds and Game Time

• When: Monday, March 9, 2026 at 2 p.m. ET
• Where: Gateway Center Arena in College Park, Georgia
• Spread favorite: Alabama State -5.5
• Moneyline favorite: Alabama State -264
• Moneyline underdog: Alcorn State +207
• Over/Under: 142.5 points

How to watch Alabama State vs. Alcorn State

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Alabama State vs. Alcorn State

• This season, Alabama State and its opponents have combined to outscore Monday's total of 142.5 points 18 times.
• A total of 18 of Alcorn State's games have finished with a combined score over 142.5 points this season.
• Together, the two teams combine for 140.3 points per game, 2.2 fewer points than the total of 142.5 for this contest.
• The 158.5 points per game these two teams allow their opponents to score on average this season are 16.0 more than the 142.5 total in this contest.
• This season, the average over/under for Alabama State's games is 150.7 points, 8.2 more than the total of 142.5 points set for this contest.
• The over/under for this matchup is 5.6 points lower than the average over/under in Alcorn State's games this season (148.1 points).

Betting the Spread: Alabama State vs. Alcorn State

• Against the spread, Alabama State is 13-17-0 this season.
• The Hornets are 3-1 ATS when favored by 5.5 points or more this season.
• Alcorn State is 17-13-0 against the spread this season.
• The Braves have an against the spread record of 13-9 in their 22 games as an underdog of 5.5 points or more this year.
• At home this season, Alabama State is 4-4 overall and 4-4 against the spread.
• At home, as a 5.5-point favorite or greater, Alabama State has two wins ATS (2-1).
• This year in away games, Alcorn State is 11-9 against the spread and 2-18 overall.
• On the road, Alcorn State is unbeaten ATS (1-0) as 5.5-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Alabama State vs. Alcorn State

• Alabama State has been the moneyline favorite in 10 games this season and won five (50%) of those contests.
• The Hornets have a record of 3-1 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -264 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from Alabama State, based on the moneyline, is 72.5%.
• Alcorn State has come away with six wins in the 26 contests it has been listed as the moneyline underdog this season.
• This year, the Braves have won four of 18 games when listed as at least +207 or worse on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Alcorn State has a 32.6% chance of pulling out a win.