UCSD vs. CSU Bakersfield Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 26

The UCSD Tritons (19-9, 9-7 Big West) are strongly favored, by 14.5 points, versus the CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners (8-20, 2-14 Big West) on February 26, 2026 at LionTree Arena. The Roadrunners are sputtering right now, having lost 11 in a row and going 0-10 in their past 10 games. The over/under for the matchup is set at 148.5.

UCSD won its last outing 71-69 against UC Irvine on Saturday. Hudson Mayes' team-leading 17 points paced UCSD in the win. CSU Bakersfield's last contest on Saturday ended in an 88-80 loss to CSU Fullerton. CSU Bakersfield got a team-best 21 points from Dailin Smith in the loss.

UCSD vs. CSU Bakersfield Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, February 26, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET
• Where: LionTree Arena in San Diego, California
• Spread favorite: UCSD -14.5
• Moneyline favorite: UCSD -1515
• Moneyline underdog: CSU Bakersfield +843
• Over/Under: 148.5 points

How to watch UCSD vs. CSU Bakersfield

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: UCSD vs. CSU Bakersfield

• UCSD and its opponents have combined to outscore Thursday's over/under (148.5 points) 12 times this season.
• There have been 14 CSU Bakersfield games that ended with a combined score higher than 148.5 points this season.
• The Tritons average 76.1 points per game and the Roadrunners score 72.1, amounting to 0.3 points under the game's total of 148.5.
• This matchup's over/under is 2.6 fewer points than the 151.1 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2024.
• UCSD has seen a 146.4 average over/under in its games this season, 2.1 less than the over/under in this matchup.
• CSU Bakersfield's games have an average over/under of 153.0 points this season, 4.5 more points than the over/under for this matchup.

Betting the Spread: UCSD vs. CSU Bakersfield

• Against the spread, UCSD is 14-12-0 this season.
• CSU Bakersfield is 9-17-0 against the spread this year.
• This year, the Roadrunners have just two against the spread wins in five games as an underdog of 14.5 points or more.
• UCSD is 4-7 against the spread, and 6-5 overall, at home this season.
• CSU Bakersfield is 5-8 against the spread, and 2-11 overall, away from home.

Betting the Moneyline: UCSD vs. CSU Bakersfield

• UCSD has won 14, or 66.7%, of the 21 games it has played as the moneyline favorite this season.
• The Tritons have not entered a game this season with shorter moneyline odds than -1515.
• The implied probability of a win from UCSD, based on the moneyline, is 93.8%.
• CSU Bakersfield has won in three, or 13.6%, of the 22 contests it has been named as the moneyline underdog this year.
• The Roadrunners have yet to win this season when listed as an underdog of +843 or worse on the moneyline this season.
• CSU Bakersfield has an implied victory probability of 10.6% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Dunkel Index Prediction for UCSD vs. CSU Bakersfield

• Pick ATS: UCSD (- 14.5)
• Pick OU: Over (148.5)
  
• Prediction: UCSD 88 - CSU Bakersfield 70