Texas Tech vs. TCU Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - March 3
03 March 2026

The No. 10 Texas Tech Red Raiders (22-7, 12-4 Big 12) host the TCU Horned Frogs (19-10, 9-7 Big 12) at United Supermarkets Arena, tipping off at 7 p.m. ET on Tuesday, March 3, 2026. The Red Raiders are 10.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup has an over/under set at 147.5 points.
In its most recent outing on Saturday, Texas Tech earned an 82-73 win against Iowa State. In Texas Tech's win, Donovan Atwell led the way with a team-high 18 points (adding one rebound and zero assists). TCU's last contest on Saturday ended in a 77-68 victory against Kansas State. In TCU's win, Xavier Edmonds led the team with 15 points (adding 13 rebounds and three assists).
Texas Tech vs. TCU Odds and Game Time
- When: Tuesday, March 3, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
- Where: United Supermarkets Arena in Lubbock, Texas
- Spread favorite: Texas Tech -10.5
- Moneyline favorite: Texas Tech -741
- Moneyline underdog: TCU +480
- Over/Under: 147.5 points
How to watch Texas Tech vs. TCU
- TV Channel: Fox Sports 1
- Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!
Betting the Over/Under: Texas Tech vs. TCU
- A total of 18 of Texas Tech's games this season have gone over Tuesday's total of 147.5 points.
- This season, 15 of TCU's games have finished with a combined score higher than 147.5 points.
- The point total for the contest of 147.5 is 12.8 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Red Raiders (82.0) and Horned Frogs (78.3).
- This game's over/under is 3.4 fewer points than the 144.1 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2024.
- Texas Tech has seen a 154.2 average over/under in its games this season, 6.7 points more than the over/under in this matchup.
- TCU's games have an average over/under of 150.1 points this season, 2.6 more points than the over/under for this game.
Betting the Spread: Texas Tech vs. TCU
- In Texas Tech's 29 games this season, it has 16 wins against the spread.
- This season, the Red Raiders have an against-the-spread record of 6-5 in their 11 games as a favorite of 10.5 points or more.
- TCU has played 29 games, with 16 wins against the spread.
- This season, the Horned Frogs have won ATS in each of their two games as an underdog of 10.5 points or more.
- Texas Tech is 9-6 against the spread, and 14-1 overall, at home.
- Texas Tech is 6-5 ATS as a 10.5-point favorite or greater at home.
- This season away from home, TCU is 5-3 against the spread and 3-5 overall.
Betting the Moneyline: Texas Tech vs. TCU
- Texas Tech has won 18, or 81.8%, of the 22 games it has played as the moneyline favorite this season.
- The Red Raiders have been at least a -741 moneyline favorite 11 times this season and won each of those games.
- The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 88.1% chance of a victory for Texas Tech.
- TCU has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in 10 games this year and has walked away with the win five times (50%) in those games.
- The Horned Frogs have been listed as an underdog of +480 or more on two occasions this season and split those games.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that TCU has a 17.2% chance of pulling out a win.
