Southern Illinois vs. Evansville Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - March 1

The Southern Illinois Salukis (15-15, 9-10 MVC) face the Evansville Purple Aces (7-23, 3-16 MVC) on March 1, 2026 at Ford Center. The Purple Aces are underdogs by a 9.5-point margin as they enter the matchup losers of three in a row with a 7-3 record in their last 10 games. The matchup's point total is 138.5.

Southern Illinois won its most recent matchup 66-55 against Indiana State on Wednesday. Quel'Ron House totaled 12 points, nine rebounds and three assists for Southern Illinois. Evansville came out on top in its most recent matchup 80-79 against Valparaiso on Saturday. AJ Casey scored a team-leading 37 points for Evansville in the victory.

Southern Illinois vs. Evansville Odds and Game Time

• When: Sunday, March 1, 2026 at 4 p.m. ET
• Where: Ford Center in Evansville, Indiana
• Spread favorite: Southern Illinois -9.5
• Moneyline favorite: Southern Illinois -463
• Moneyline underdog: Evansville +344
• Over/Under: 138.5 points

How to watch Southern Illinois vs. Evansville

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Southern Illinois vs. Evansville

• This season, Southern Illinois and its opponents have combined to outscore Sunday's over/under of 138.5 points 16 times.
• There have been 18 Evansville games that ended with a combined score higher than 138.5 points this season.
• The point total for the contest of 138.5 is 1.8 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Salukis (73.1) and Purple Aces (67.2).
• The 146.3 points per game these two teams allow to opponents combined this season are 7.8 more than the 138.5-point total in this contest.
• Southern Illinois has a 142.8 average over/under in its games this season, 4.3 more points than the over/under in this contest.
• The over/under for this contest is 5.3 points lower than the average over/under in Evansville's games this season of 143.8.

Betting the Spread: Southern Illinois vs. Evansville

• In Southern Illinois' 29 games this year, it has 15 wins against the spread.
• This season, the Salukis have two against the spread wins in three games as a favorite of 9.5 points or more.
• Against the spread, Evansville is 14-14-0 this year.
• The Purple Aces are 5-6 ATS when underdogs by 9.5 points or more this year.
• At home this season, Evansville is 6-6 against the spread and 3-9 overall.
• On the road, Southern Illinois is 9-5 against the spread, and 6-8 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: Southern Illinois vs. Evansville

• Southern Illinois has been the moneyline favorite in 14 games this season and won nine (64.3%) of those contests.
• The Salukis have been at least a -463 moneyline favorite four times this season and won each of those games.
• Southern Illinois has a 82.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Evansville has been victorious in four, or 16%, of the 25 contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
• This season, the Purple Aces have come away with a win one times in 13 chances when named as an underdog of at least +344 or worse on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Evansville has a 22.5% chance of pulling out a win.