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Sabres vs. Capitals NHL Predictions, Picks and Odds - April 4

04 April 2026 By Data Skrive

The Buffalo Sabres and Washington Capitals -- both coming off losses in their last game -- will face each other on Saturday at 7 p.m. ET, at Capital One Arena in Washington. Sabres (-115) versus Capitals (-105) looks pretty close, according to the moneyline odds.

Buffalo fell 4-1 on the road in its last game on April 2 against the Ottawa Senators. Mattias Samuelsson (one goal) and Peyton Krebs (one assist) were among the three Sabres skaters who collected one point each.

Washington's last game was a road loss, 7-3, to the New Jersey Devils on April 2. Tom Wilson (one goal and one assist) and Pierre-Luc Dubois (one goal and one assist) each had two points for the Capitals in that matchup.

Before watching this matchup, here's a look at which team we think will emerge with the victory in Saturday's action on the ice.

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Sabres vs. Capitals Predictions & Pick

Ahead of the upcoming game between the Buffalo Sabres and Washington Capitals, computer-calculated moneyline, over/under, and score predictions are below, based on data from Dunkel Index.

  • Prediction: Capitals 4 - Sabres 3
  • Pick OU: Over 6.5 (Dunkel projecting 7.00 goals)

Pick with the best in the business! Get free picks for every game, every week at the Dunkel Index.

Sabres vs. Capitals Moneylines

Grab a look below at the latest moneylines for the Sabres-Capitals game.

  • Favorite: Sabres (-115)
  • Underdog: Capitals (-105)

Sabres Betting Insights

  • In the 37 times this season the Sabres have been a moneyline favorite, they have gone 23-14 in those games.
  • Buffalo is 23-13 (victorious in 63.9% of its games) when it has played with moneyline odds of -115 or shorter.
  • The Sabres' implied moneyline win probability is 53.5% in this matchup.
  • Buffalo and its opponent have gone over 6.5 combined goals in 35 of 75 games this season.

Capitals Betting Insights

  • This season the Capitals have been an underdog 25 times, and won nine, or 36.0%, of those games.
  • Washington has a record of 9-16 in games when sportsbooks have them as underdogs of at least -105 on the moneyline.
  • The Capitals have a 51.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Washington has played 30 games this season that ended with over 6.5 goals.

Sabres Key Stats

  • Buffalo has scored the seventh-most goals in the league (259 total, 3.4 per game).
  • The Sabres have given up 225 total goals (3.0 per game), the 10th-fewest in league action.
  • Its goal differential (+34) makes the team fifth-best in the league.
  • The 48 power-play goals the Sabres have scored this season (to rank 14th in the NHL) have come on 226 power-play chances.
  • Buffalo ranks 15th in the league with a 21.24% power-play conversion rate.
  • The Sabres have scored 10 shorthanded goals this season.
  • Buffalo's 81.9% penalty-kill success rate is the sixth-best in the league.
  • Buffalo wins 45.6% of its faceoffs (32nd in NHL).
  • The Sabres shoot 12.1% as a team (fifth in the league).

Capitals Key Stats

  • With 239 goals (3.1 per game), Washington has the NHL's 15th-ranked offense.
  • The Capitals have one of the top defenses in the league, conceding 224 total goals (3.0 per game), ninth in the league.
  • it has the 11th-ranked goal differential in the league at +15.
  • With 41 power-play goals (on 228 chances), the Capitals are 21st in the NHL.
  • Washington scores on 17.98% of its power plays, No. 23 in the NHL.
  • The Capitals have three shorthanded goals (27th in NHL).
  • Washington's has the 13th-ranked penalty-kill percentage (79.75%).
  • Washington wins 49.5% of faceoffs, 17th-ranked in the NHL.
  • The Capitals' 11.2% shooting percentage is 13th in the league.

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