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Padres vs. Brewers Game 4 of the NLDS Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Props - Oct. 7

07 October 2026 By Data Skrive

The San Diego Padres host the Milwaukee Brewers in Game 4 of the NLDS, Wednesday at 10 p.m. ET. The Brewers are up 2-1 and would clinch with a victory. Walker Buehler (9-6, 4.63 ERA) will start for the Padres. The Brewers have yet to name a starter.

The moneyline odds for the Padres (-114) versus the Brewers (-107) are tight. The contest has an over/under set at 7.5.

Padres vs. Brewers Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Wednesday, October 7, 2026
  • Game time: 10 p.m. ET
  • Location: San Diego, California
  • Stadium: Petco Park
  • Favorite: Padres (-114)
  • Underdog: Brewers (-107)
  • Over/under: 7.5

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Padres vs. Brewers: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Padres have gone 53-31 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 63.1% of those games).
  • Milwaukee has come away with 19 wins in the 37 contests it has been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • San Diego has a record of 49-27 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -114 on the moneyline.
  • This year, the Brewers have won 14 of 29 games when listed as at least -107 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Padres' implied win probability is 53.3%.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Brewers have a 51.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Padres vs. Brewers: Betting the Spread & Total

  • The Padres have played in 167 games with a set over/under, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 78 times (78-83-6).
  • So far this season, Milwaukee and its opponents have hit the over in 72 of its 165 games with a total.
  • The Padres have a 96-71-0 record ATS this season (covering 57.5% of the time).
  • The Brewers are 85-80-0 against the spread in their 165 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Padres vs. Brewers

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