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Yankees vs. Rays Game 3 of the ALDS Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Props - Oct. 7

MLB Previews

07 October 2026 By Data Skrive

The New York Yankees host the Tampa Bay Rays in Game 3 of the ALDS, Wednesday at 8 p.m. ET. The Rays are up 2-0 and would sweep with a victory. Max Fried (5-5, 2.80 ERA) will start for the Yankees, and Nick Martinez (15-6, 3.10 ERA) is expected to start for the Rays.

The Yankees are moderate favorites on the moneyline (-171) at home over the Rays (+139). The contest has an over/under set at 7.

Yankees vs. Rays Odds, Game Time

Game day: Wednesday, October 7, 2026
Game time: 8 p.m. ET
Location: The Bronx, New York
Stadium: Yankee Stadium
Favorite: Yankees (-171)
Underdog: Rays (+139)
Over/under: 7

How to Watch Yankees vs. Rays

TV Channel: truTV, TBS and HBO Max
Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)

Bet now on FanDuel Sportsbook!

Yankees vs. Rays: Betting the Moneyline

The Yankees are 79-53 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 59.8% of those games).
Tampa Bay has been pegged as an underdog in 56 games this year and has walked away with the win 29 times (51.8%) in those games.
New York has a record of 25-15 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -171 on the moneyline.
This season, the Rays have come away with a win three times in five chances when named as an underdog of at least +139 or longer on the moneyline.
The Yankees have an implied moneyline win probability of 63.1% in this game.
The Rays have an implied victory probability of 41.8% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Yankees vs. Rays: Betting the Spread & Total

The Yankees have played in 165 games with a set over/under, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 79 times (79-81-5).
Tampa Bay's games have gone over the total in 75 of its 164 chances.
The Yankees have covered 51.5% of their games this season, going 85-80-0 ATS.
The Rays are 86-78-0 against the spread in their 164 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.