Falcons vs. Ravens Week 5 Dunkel NFL Picks, Predictions and Odds

The Atlanta Falcons (2-2) are favored by 3.5 points versus the Baltimore Ravens (3-1) on October 11, 2026, starting at 8:20 p.m. ET, airing on NBC/Peacock. An over/under of 43.5 points has been set for the matchup.

Offensively, the Falcons rank 15th in the NFL with 24.0 points per game. Meanwhile, they rank 15th in points allowed (313.0 points allowed per contest). From an offensive perspective, the Ravens are compiling 29.0 points per game (seventh-ranked). They rank 19th in the NFL on defense (24.0 points allowed per game).

Falcons vs. Ravens Odds and Game Time

• Date: Sunday, October 11, 2026
• Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
• City: Atlanta, Georgia
• Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
• Total: 43.5 points
• Spread: Falcons -3.5
• Moneyline: Falcons (-170), Ravens (+142)

How to watch Falcons vs. Ravens

• TV Channel: NBC/Peacock

Betting the Over/Under: Falcons vs. Ravens

• The Falcons and their opponents have combined to score more than 43.5 points two times this season (over four games).
• Atlanta games have gone over the point total twice this season.
• The Ravens and their opponents have combined to score more than 43.5 points twice this season.
• So far this year, two Baltimore games have gone over the point total.
• The teams combine to score 53 points per game, 9.5 more points than this matchup's total.
• Opponents of these teams average 47 points per game combined, 3.5 more points than this matchup's over/under.

Betting the Spread: Falcons vs. Ravens

• Atlanta has won two games against the spread this season.
• The Ravens have covered once in four games ATS this year.

Betting the Moneyline: Falcons vs. Ravens

• Atlanta has not played as the moneyline favorite yet this season.
• This is the first time the Ravens will play as underdogs this season.
• Atlanta has never played a game this season with moneyline odds of -170 or shorter.
• Baltimore has not been a bigger underdog this season than the +142 moneyline set for this game.
• Based on this game's moneyline, the Falcons have an implied win probability of 63.0%.

Dunkel Prediction for Falcons vs. Ravens

For more expert NFL picks, visit our Dunkel Index NFL Picks and Predictions.