Guardians vs. White Sox Game 4 of the ALDS Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Props - Oct. 8

The Cleveland Guardians and Chicago White Sox square off in Game 4 of the ALDS, Thursday at 8 p.m. ET, at Rate Field. The White Sox are up 2-1 and would clinch with a victory. Parker Messick (12-9, 2.56 ERA) will start for the Guardians, and Hagen Smith (3-3, 1.29 ERA) is expected to start for the White Sox.

The moneyline odds for the Guardians (-118) versus the White Sox (-104) indicate a tight game. The over/under for the Guardians-White Sox game is set at 7.5.

Guardians vs. White Sox Odds, Game Time

• Game day: Thursday, October 8, 2026
• Game time: 8 p.m. ET
• Location: Chicago, Illinois
• Stadium: Rate Field
• Favorite: Guardians (-118)
• Underdog: White Sox (-104)
• Over/under: 7.5

How to Watch Guardians vs. White Sox

• TV Channel: truTV, TBS and HBO Max
• Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)

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Guardians vs. White Sox: Betting the Moneyline

• The Guardians have gone 55-47 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 53.9% of those games).
• Chicago has been underdogs in 112 games this season and has come away with the win 57 times (50.9%) in those contests.
• Cleveland has a record of 48-40 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -118 on the moneyline.
• This season, the White Sox have been victorious 51 times in 100 chances when named as an underdog of at least -104 or longer on the moneyline.
• Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Guardians have an implied win probability of 54.1%.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the White Sox have a 51% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Guardians vs. White Sox: Betting the Spread & Total

• In the 165 games in which bookmakers have set an over/under for the Guardians, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 79 times (79-84-2).
• Chicago's games have gone over the total in 97 of its 167 chances.
• The Guardians have put together an 80-85-0 record ATS this season (covering 48.5% of the time).
• The White Sox have posted a record of 97-70-0 against the spread this season.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Guardians vs. White Sox

• Pick OU: Over (7.5)
  
• Prediction: White Sox 5 - Guardians 4
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