North Texas vs. Florida Atlantic Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 22

The North Texas Mean Green (15-12, 7-8 AAC) take the court against the Florida Atlantic Owls (15-12, 7-8 AAC) as only 2.5-point favorites on Sunday, February 22, 2026 at 4 p.m. ET on ESPNU. The matchup has an over/under set at 140.5 points.

North Texas is coming off of a 77-71 loss to Tulane in its last outing on Thursday. In North Texas' loss, David Terrell Jr. led the way with a team-high 21 points (adding two rebounds and six assists). Florida Atlantic's most recent contest on Wednesday ended in a 60-52 win against UTSA. In Florida Atlantic's win, Josiah Parker led the team with 16 points (adding 13 rebounds and one assist).

North Texas vs. Florida Atlantic Odds and Game Time

• When: Sunday, February 22, 2026 at 4 p.m. ET
• Where: UNT Coliseum in Denton, Texas
• Spread favorite: North Texas -2.5
• Moneyline favorite: North Texas -155
• Moneyline underdog: Florida Atlantic +126
• Over/Under: 140.5 points

How to watch North Texas vs. Florida Atlantic

• TV Channel: ESPNU
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: North Texas vs. Florida Atlantic

• North Texas and its opponents have hit the over on this game's total (140.5 points) 10 times this season.
• In Florida Atlantic's 25 games this season, 21 finished with more combined points than Sunday's over/under of 140.5.
• The total for the contest of 140.5 is 10.4 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Mean Green (70.6 points per game) and the Owls (80.3 points per game).
• The 141 points per game these two teams allow to opponents on average this season are 0.5 more than the 140.5 over/under in this contest.
• On average, the over/under in North Texas' games is 3.3 fewer points than the over/under of 140.5 in this contest.
• Florida Atlantic's games have an average over/under of 154.7 points this season, 14.2 more points than the over/under for this game.

Betting the Spread: North Texas vs. Florida Atlantic

• Against the spread, North Texas is 14-11-0 this season.
• This season, the Mean Green have an ATS record of 4-5 in their nine games as a favorite of 2.5 points or more.
• In Florida Atlantic's 25 games this year, it has 15 wins against the spread.
• The Owls have an ATS record of 5-4 in their nine games when underdogs by 2.5 points or more this season.
• North Texas is 6-6 against the spread, and 8-4 overall, at home.
• This year, as a 2.5-point favorite or more at home, North Texas is 3-5 ATS.
• Florida Atlantic is 4-6 overall, and 4-6 against the spread, in away games.
• On the road, Florida Atlantic has two wins ATS (2-3) as 2.5-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: North Texas vs. Florida Atlantic

• This season, North Texas has won seven out of the 11 games, or 63.6%, in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
• The Mean Green have a record of 7-2, a 77.8% win rate, when favored by -155 or more by bookmakers this season.
• North Texas has a 60.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Florida Atlantic has been victorious in one of the nine contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
• This season, the Owls have been victorious one time in nine chances when named as an underdog of at least +126 or longer on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Florida Atlantic has a 44.2% chance of pulling out a win.

Dunkel Index Prediction for North Texas vs. Florida Atlantic

• Pick ATS: Florida Atlantic (+ 2.5)
• Pick OU: Over (140.5)
  
• Prediction: Florida Atlantic 73 - North Texas 72