Idaho State vs. Sacramento State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - March 2

In a contest featuring one of the colder teams in college basketball, the Idaho State Bengals (12-18, 5-12 Big Sky, 2-8 in their last 10) face the Sacramento State Hornets (9-20, 5-12 Big Sky) at Hornet Pavilion on March 2, 2026. Despite their struggles, the Bengals are favorites by 1.5 points. The point total is 160.5 for the matchup.

Last time out, Idaho State lost 83-73 to Weber State on Saturday. Gus Etchison recorded 15 points, one rebound and seven assists for Idaho State. Sacramento State fell in its most recent matchup 82-61 against Montana State on Saturday. Jayden Teat recorded 15 points, one rebound and three assists for Sacramento State.

Idaho State vs. Sacramento State Odds and Game Time

• When: Monday, March 2, 2026 at 10 p.m. ET
• Where: Hornet Pavilion in Sacramento, California
• Spread favorite: Idaho State -1.5
• Moneyline favorite: Idaho State -119
• Moneyline underdog: Sacramento State -103
• Over/Under: 160.5 points

How to watch Idaho State vs. Sacramento State

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Idaho State vs. Sacramento State

• This season, Idaho State and its opponents have combined to outscore Monday's total of 160.5 points eight times.
• A total of 15 of Sacramento State's games have finished with a combined score over 160.5 points this season.
• Together, the two teams combine for 153.4 points per game, 7.1 points fewer than the point total of 160.5 for this game.
• This matchup's total is 1.4 fewer points than the 159.1 these two teams combine to give up per game in 2024.
• On average, the over/under in Idaho State's games is 9.7 fewer points than the over/under of 160.5 in this contest.
• Sacramento State's games have an average over/under of 161.7 points this season, 1.2 more points than the over/under for this matchup.

Betting the Spread: Idaho State vs. Sacramento State

• In Idaho State's 27 games this season, it has 13 wins against the spread.
• This season, the Bengals have an ATS record of 5-6 in their 11 games as a favorite of 1.5 points or more.
• Sacramento State has 11 wins against the spread in 27 games this season.
• The Hornets have an against the spread record of 9-14 in their 23 games when underdogs by 1.5 points or more this year.
• At home this season, Sacramento State is 7-4 against the spread and 7-4 overall.
• At home, as a 1.5-point underdog or more, Sacramento State has two wins ATS (2-2).
• In away games, Idaho State is 3-11 overall and 7-7 against the spread.
• Away from home, Idaho State has one win ATS (1-1) as 1.5-point favorites or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Idaho State vs. Sacramento State

• Idaho State has entered the game as moneyline favorites 11 times this season and won six, or 54.5%, of those games.
• The Bengals have entered 10 games this season favored by -119 or more and are 5-5 in those contests.
• The implied probability of a win from Idaho State, based on the moneyline, is 54.3%.
• Sacramento State has won in three, or 13%, of the 23 contests it has been named as the moneyline underdog this year.
• The Hornets have a win-loss record of 3-20 with odds of -103 or worse this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Sacramento State has a 50.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Idaho State vs. Sacramento State

• Pick ATS: Idaho State (- 1.5)
• Pick OU: Under (160.5)
  
• Prediction: Idaho State 79 - Sacramento State 76