Fairfield vs. Mount St. Mary's Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - March 1

The Fairfield Stags (19-11, 11-8 MAAC) play the Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers (14-16, 10-9 MAAC) on March 1, 2026 at Leo D. Mahoney Arena. The Stags are favorites by 4.5 points as they enter the matchup winners of three in a row and are 8-2 in their last 10 games. The matchup has a point total of 143.5.

Fairfield heads into this matchup after a 72-58 win against Siena on Friday. Braden Sparks put up 19 points, five rebounds and two assists for Fairfield. Mount St. Mary's most recent game was a 77-69 loss to Sacred Heart on Friday. Luke McEldon's team-high 19 points paced Mount St. Mary's in the losing effort.

Fairfield vs. Mount St. Mary's Odds and Game Time

• When: Sunday, March 1, 2026 at 2 p.m. ET
• Where: Leo D. Mahoney Arena in Fairfield, Connecticut
• Spread favorite: Fairfield -4.5
• Moneyline favorite: Fairfield -203
• Moneyline underdog: Mount St. Mary's +158
• Over/Under: 143.5 points

How to watch Fairfield vs. Mount St. Mary's

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Fairfield vs. Mount St. Mary's

• Fairfield and its opponents have hit the over on this game's total (143.5 points) 15 times this season.
• In Mount St. Mary's 29 games this season, 10 finished with more combined points than Sunday's over/under of 143.5.
• The total for the contest of 143.5 is 0.7 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Stags (75.8 points per game) and the Mountaineers (68.4 points per game).
• This matchup's total equals the 143.5 average points per game these two teams have combined to allow this year.
• On average, Fairfield has had a 148.2-point over/under in its games this season, 4.7 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
• A difference of 4.0 points separates this game's over/under (143.5 points) and the average over/under in Mount St. Mary's games (139.5) this season.

Betting the Spread: Fairfield vs. Mount St. Mary's

• Fairfield has played 29 games, with 13 wins against the spread.
• So far this season, the Stags have been installed as favorites by a 4.5-point margin or more 10 times and are 3-7 ATS in those games.
• Mount St. Mary's has played 29 games, with 17 wins against the spread.
• The Mountaineers have been underdogs by 4.5 points or more 11 times this season and are 5-6 ATS in those contests.
• Fairfield is 5-9 against the spread, and 11-3 overall, at home.
• At home, Fairfield has two wins ATS (2-6) as a 4.5-point favorite or more.
• Mount St. Mary's is 6-11 overall, and 10-7 against the spread, away from home.
• Mount St. Mary's is unbeaten ATS (2-0) as 4.5-point underdogs or more on the road.

Betting the Moneyline: Fairfield vs. Mount St. Mary's

• Fairfield has entered the game as moneyline favorites 15 times this season and won 12, or 80%, of those games.
• The Stags have a record of 9-1 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -203 on the moneyline.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 67% chance of a victory for Fairfield.
• Mount St. Mary's has been a moneyline underdog in 18 games this season and has come away with the win three times (16.7%) in those contests.
• This season, the Mountaineers have been a moneyline underdog of -203 or more 10 times, losing every contest.
• Mount St. Mary's has an implied victory probability of 38.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.