Alcorn State vs. Mississippi Valley State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - March 3

In a matchup featuring one of the sputtering teams in college basketball, the Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils (3-27, 2-14 SWAC) play the Alcorn State Braves (7-21, 6-10 SWAC) at Davey L. Whitney Complex on March 3, 2026. The Delta Devils are 2-8 in their past 10 games. They enter this matchup as underdogs by 9.5 points. The matchup's point total is set at 139.5.

In its last matchup on Saturday, Alcorn State suffered a 72-51 loss to Prairie View A&M. In the loss, Omari Hamilton led Alcorn State with 13 points. Mississippi Valley State's most recent game on Saturday ended in a 70-69 win over UAPB. In Mississippi Valley State's win, Michael James led the way with 21 points (adding four rebounds and three assists).

Alcorn State vs. Mississippi Valley State Odds and Game Time

• When: Tuesday, March 3, 2026 at 9 p.m. ET
• Where: Davey L. Whitney Complex in Lorman, Mississippi
• Spread favorite: Alcorn State -9.5
• Moneyline favorite: Alcorn State -571
• Moneyline underdog: Mississippi Valley State +403
• Over/Under: 139.5 points

How to watch Alcorn State vs. Mississippi Valley State

• TV Channel: SWAC TV
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Alcorn State vs. Mississippi Valley State

• Alcorn State and its opponents have hit the over on this game's total (139.5 points) 20 times this season.
• In Mississippi Valley State's 29 games this season, 20 finished with more combined points than Tuesday's point total of 139.5.
• Together, the two teams combine for 131.8 points per game, 7.7 points fewer than the over/under of 139.5 for this contest.
• This game's point total is 26.0 less than the 165.5 points these two teams combine to allow per game.
• On average, Alcorn State has seen a 149.4-point over/under in its games this season, 9.9 more points than the over/under in this contest.
• A difference of 8.4 points separates the average over/under in Mississippi Valley State's games (147.9 points) and this game's over/under (139.5).

Betting the Spread: Alcorn State vs. Mississippi Valley State

• In Alcorn State's 28 games this season, it has 17 wins against the spread.
• In Mississippi Valley State's 29 games this year, it has 14 wins against the spread.
• So far this year, the Delta Devils have been installed as underdogs by a 9.5-point margin or more 26 times and are 14-12 ATS in those games.
• Alcorn State is 5-2 against the spread, and 4-3 overall, at home this year.
• This year away from home, Mississippi Valley State is 9-8 against the spread and 1-16 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: Alcorn State vs. Mississippi Valley State

• Alcorn State won the only game it has played as the moneyline favorite this season.
• The Braves have not entered a game this season with shorter moneyline odds than -571.
• The implied probability of a win from Alcorn State, based on the moneyline, is 85.1%.
• Mississippi Valley State has been a moneyline underdog in 22 games this season and has come away with the win two times (9.1%) in those contests.
• This year, the Delta Devils have won two of 19 games when listed as at least +403 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Mississippi Valley State has a 19.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Alcorn State vs. Mississippi Valley State

• Pick ATS: Alcorn State (- 9.5)
• Pick OU: Under (139.5)
  
• Prediction: Alcorn State 75 - Mississippi Valley State 58