Wings vs. Mercury: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - June 11

The Dallas Wings (7-4) will host the Phoenix Mercury (4-9) after winning three home games in a row. It starts at 9 p.m. ET on Thursday, June 11, 2026.

Dallas fell to Minnesota 100-76 in its last game. Paige Bueckers led the way with 23 points, followed by Arike Ogunbowale with 16 points, six assists and three steals.

Phoenix fell on the road to Golden State, 87-81, in its last game. Its top performers were Alyssa Thomas (22 PTS, 8 REB, 9 AST, 64.3 FG%) and Monique Akoa Makani (19 PTS, 63.6 FG%, 3-5 from 3PT).

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Wings vs. Mercury Betting Lines

Grab a peek below at the latest betting lines for the Wings-Mercury matchup.

• Favorite: Wings (-6.5)
• Total: 169.5
• Wings Moneyline: -280
• Mercury Moneyline: +220

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Wings Betting Insights

• The Wings have an implied moneyline win probability of 73.7% in this game.
• Dallas has won four of the five games when it was favored on the moneyline this season (80%).
• The Wings have put together a 7-4-0 record against the spread this season.
• Dallas' 11 games this season have gone over this contest's total of 169.5 points six times.
• The average point total in Wings outings this year is 175.0, 5.5 more points than this game's over/under.

Mercury Betting Insights

• The moneyline for this contest implies a 31.2% chance of a victory for the Mercury.
• Phoenix has won two of the eight games it has played as the underdog this season.
• The Mercury have won five games against the spread this year, while failing to cover eight times.
• Phoenix has played six games this season that ended with a combined score higher than 169.5 points.
• The average over/under for Mercury matchups this season is 166.9, 2.6 fewer points than this game's total.

Key Stats for Wings vs. Mercury

• Dallas averages 88.2 points per game, just 3.1 more points than the 85.1 Phoenix allows.
• The Wings are 6-1 when scoring more than 85.1 points.
• Dallas has been much worse offensively at home, where it averages 84.8 points per game, compared to road games, where it scores 91. Defensively it is much better when playing at home, where it concedes 75.8 points per game, versus on the road, where it allows its opponents to average 91.8.
• Phoenix's 81.6 points per game are just 2.9 fewer points than the 84.5 Dallas gives up.
• The Mercury have put together a 2-2 record in games when they've scored more than 84.5 points.
• Phoenix puts up more points per game at home (86) than away (78.9), but also concedes more at home (95.4) than away (78.6).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.