Wings vs. Mercury: Betting Trends, Odds, Records Against the Spread, Predictions - June 11

The Dallas Wings (7-4) will be trying to extend a three-game home winning run when squaring off against the Phoenix Mercury (4-9) on Thursday, June 11, 2026 at College Park Center. It airs at 9 p.m. ET on Amazon Prime Video.

Dallas suffered defeat by a final score of 100-76 in its last game against Minnesota. Leading the way on offense for the Wings was Paige Bueckers, who ended the game with 16 points and three steals. Arike Ogunbowale posted 16 points, six assists and three steals.

Phoenix fell to Golden State 87-81 on the road last time out, and were led by Alyssa Thomas (22 PTS, 8 REB, 9 AST, 64.3 FG%) and Monique Akoa Makani (19 PTS, 63.6 FG%, 3-5 from 3PT).

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Wings vs. Mercury Betting Lines

Grab a peek below at the most up-to-date betting lines for the Wings-Mercury game.

• Favorite: Wings (-5.5)
• Total: 169.5
• Wings Moneyline: -235
• Mercury Moneyline: +186

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Wings Betting Insights

• Based on this contest's moneyline, the Wings' implied win probability is 70.1%.
• Dallas has been a moneyline favorite five times this season. They've gone 4-1 in those games.
• The Wings have won seven games against the spread this season, while failing to cover four times.
• Dallas' 11 games this season have gone over this contest's total of 169.5 points six times.
• The average point total in Wings contests this year is 175.0, 5.5 more than this matchup's over/under.

Mercury Betting Insights

• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 35.0% chance of a victory for the Mercury.
• Phoenix has won two of the eight games it has played as the underdog this season.
• The Mercury have put together a 5-8-0 ATS record so far this year.
• Phoenix has combined with its opponents to score more than 169.5 points in six of 13 games this season.
• The Mercury have a 166.9-point average over/under in their matchups this season, 2.6 fewer points than this game's point total.

Key Stats for Wings vs. Mercury

• The 88.2 points per game Dallas averages are just 3.1 more points than Phoenix gives up (85.1).
• The Wings are 6-1 when scoring more than 85.1 points.
• Dallas has scored at a much lower clip in home games than away from home in the 2026 season (84.8 points per game at home versus 91.0 on the road), and has given up fewer points in home games than on the road (75.8 per home game versus 91.8 on the road).
• Phoenix's 81.6 points per game are only 2.9 fewer points than the 84.5 Dallas allows to opponents.
• The Mercury have gone 2-2 when they've scored more than 84.5 points.
• Phoenix averages 86.0 points per game at home, 7.1 more than away (78.9). Defensively, it gives up 95.4 per game, 16.8 more than away (78.6).

All Media on this page by Associated Press.