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Brewers vs. Rays Game 1 of the World Series Dunkel MLB Picks, Predictions and Props - Oct. 23

23 October 2026 By Data Skrive

The Milwaukee Brewers meet the Tampa Bay Rays to open the World Series at American Family Field, on Friday at 8 p.m. ET. Jacob Misiorowski (16-5, 1.80 ERA) gets the start for the Brewers, and Nick Martinez (15-6, 3.10 ERA) is expected to start for the Rays.

The bookmakers have spoken, making the Brewers (-192) a moderate moneyline favorite to defeat the Rays (+157) at home. The over/under for the Brewers-Rays game is 6.5.

Brewers vs. Rays Odds, Game Time

  • Game day: Friday, October 23, 2026
  • Game time: 8 p.m. ET
  • Location: Milwaukee, Wisconsin
  • Stadium: American Family Field
  • Favorite: Brewers (-192)
  • Underdog: Rays (+157)
  • Over/under: 6.5

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Brewers vs. Rays: Betting the Moneyline

  • The Brewers have been favored on the moneyline 128 total times this season. They've gone 86-42 in those games.
  • Tampa Bay has been victorious in 30, or 51.7%, of the 58 contests it has been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season Milwaukee has won 24 of its 31 games, or 77.4%, when favored by at least -192 on the moneyline.
  • The Rays have played as an underdog of +157 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
  • Based on this contest's moneyline, the Brewers' implied win probability is 65.8%.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rays have a 38.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Brewers vs. Rays: Betting the Spread & Total

  • The Brewers have combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 75 times this season for a 75-88-7 record against the over/under.
  • Games involving Tampa Bay have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 78 of 171 chances this season.
  • The Brewers have put together a 90-80-0 record against the spread this season (covering 52.9% of the time).
  • The Rays are 92-79-0 against the spread in their 171 games that had a posted line this season.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Brewers vs. Rays

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