Western Kentucky vs. New Mexico State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 26
26 February 2026

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (16-11, 9-7 CUSA) square off against the New Mexico State Aggies (13-13, 6-10 CUSA) as 5.5-point favorites on Thursday, February 26, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The matchup's over/under is 151.5.
Western Kentucky came out on top in its last matchup 94-73 against Liberty on Saturday. Grant Newell scored a team-high 21 points for Western Kentucky in the win. New Mexico State enters this game on the heels of a 67-63 victory over UTEP on Saturday. Jemel Jones' team-leading 21 points paced New Mexico State in the win.
Western Kentucky vs. New Mexico State Odds and Game Time
- When: Thursday, February 26, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET
- Where: E. A. Diddle Arena in Bowling Green, Kentucky
- Spread favorite: Western Kentucky -5.5
- Moneyline favorite: Western Kentucky -250
- Moneyline underdog: New Mexico State +200
- Over/Under: 151.5 points
How to watch Western Kentucky vs. New Mexico State
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!
Betting the Over/Under: Western Kentucky vs. New Mexico State
- This season, Western Kentucky and its opponents have combined to outscore Thursday's over/under of 151.5 points 12 times.
- A total of 11 of New Mexico State's games have finished with a combined score over 151.5 points this season.
- The point total for the matchup of 151.5 is 2.5 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Hilltoppers (78.5) and Aggies (75.5).
- The 145.8 points per game these two teams allow to opponents on average this season are 5.7 fewer than the 151.5 total in this contest.
- Western Kentucky has seen a 153.5 average over/under in its games this season, 2.0 points more than the over/under in this matchup.
- New Mexico State's games have an average over/under of 146.3 points this season, 5.2 points lower than the over/under for this game.
Betting the Spread: Western Kentucky vs. New Mexico State
- Western Kentucky has 13 wins against the spread in 25 games this year.
- This season, the Hilltoppers have an ATS record of 3-4 in their seven games as a favorite of 5.5 points or more.
- New Mexico State has 11 wins against the spread in 23 games this year.
- This year, the Aggies won ATS in their only game as an underdog of 5.5 points or more.
- At home this year, Western Kentucky is 8-4 overall and 5-7 against the spread.
- At home, as a 5.5-point favorite or more, Western Kentucky is 3-4 ATS.
- This season on the road, New Mexico State is 4-5 against the spread and 3-6 overall.
Betting the Moneyline: Western Kentucky vs. New Mexico State
- This season, Western Kentucky has won 11 out of the 14 games, or 78.6%, in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
- The Hilltoppers have entered six games this season favored by -250 or more and are 5-1 in those contests.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Western Kentucky has a 71.4% chance to win.
- New Mexico State has won in four of the 10 contests it has been named as the moneyline underdog this year.
- The Aggies have played as an underdog of +200 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that New Mexico State has a 33.3% chance of pulling out a win.
