UT Rio Grande Valley vs. Northwestern State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - March 2

In a contest featuring one of the hottest teams in college basketball, the UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros (17-13, 13-8 Southland, 8-2 in their last 10) play the Northwestern State Demons (10-20, 8-13 Southland) at UTRGV Fieldhouse on March 2, 2026. The Vaqueros are favorites by 9.5 points. The matchup has an over/under set at 139.5 points.

UT Rio Grande Valley is coming off of a 63-55 win against East Texas A&M in its last game on Saturday. Julien Gomez scored a team-high 14 points for UT Rio Grande Valley in the victory. Northwestern State fell in its last matchup 71-59 against Texas A&M-CC on Saturday. Micah Thomas put up 14 points, three rebounds and three assists for Northwestern State.

UT Rio Grande Valley vs. Northwestern State Odds and Game Time

• When: Monday, March 2, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET
• Where: UTRGV Fieldhouse in Edinburg, Texas
• Spread favorite: UT Rio Grande Valley -9.5
• Moneyline favorite: UT Rio Grande Valley -552
• Moneyline underdog: Northwestern State +395
• Over/Under: 139.5 points

How to watch UT Rio Grande Valley vs. Northwestern State

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: UT Rio Grande Valley vs. Northwestern State

• UT Rio Grande Valley and its opponents have combined to go over Monday's over/under of 139.5 points 16 times this season.
• There have been 14 Northwestern State games that finished with a combined score higher than 139.5 points this season.
• The total for the contest of 139.5 is 5.2 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Vaqueros (75.5 points per game) and the Demons (69.2 points per game).
• This matchup's total is 2.5 fewer points than the 142 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2024.
• UT Rio Grande Valley has seen a 144.8 average over/under in its games this season, 5.3 points more than the over/under in this matchup.
• The over/under for this matchup is 2.4 points lower than the average over/under in Northwestern State's games this season (141.9 points).

Betting the Spread: UT Rio Grande Valley vs. Northwestern State

• UT Rio Grande Valley has 15 wins against the spread in 28 games this year.
• This season, the Vaqueros have one ATS win in two games as a favorite of 9.5 points or more.
• Against the spread, Northwestern State is 17-11-0 this season.
• So far this season, the Demons have been installed as underdogs by a 9.5-point margin or more eight times and are 4-4 ATS in those contests.
• UT Rio Grande Valley is 4-8 against the spread, and 7-5 overall, at home.
• At home, as a 9.5-point favorite or more, UT Rio Grande Valley has one win ATS (1-1).
• In away games, Northwestern State is 9-7 against the spread, and 2-14 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: UT Rio Grande Valley vs. Northwestern State

• UT Rio Grande Valley has entered the game as moneyline favorites 18 times this season and won 11, or 61.1%, of those games.
• The Vaqueros have played as a favorite of -552 or more once this season and won that game.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 84.7% chance of a victory for UT Rio Grande Valley.
• Northwestern State has been chosen as moneyline underdogs in 24 games this year and has walked away with the win five times (20.8%) in those games.
• This season, the Demons have been a moneyline underdog of -552 or more eight times, losing every contest.
• Northwestern State has an implied victory probability of 20.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Dunkel Index Prediction for UT Rio Grande Valley vs. Northwestern State

• Pick ATS: Northwestern State (+ 9.5)
• Pick OU: Over (139.5)
  
• Prediction: UT Rio Grande Valley 73 - Northwestern State 67