UMBC vs. New Hampshire Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - America East Tournament

The No. 1 seed UMBC Retrievers (21-8, 14-2 America East) are 12.5-point favorites in the America East Tournament when they face off against the No. 8 seed New Hampshire Wildcats (9-20, 5-11 America East) on Saturday at Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena, starting at 1 p.m. ET on ESPN+. Both teams hope to move one step closer to an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The point total is 138.5 in the matchup.

In its most recent outing on Tuesday, UMBC secured a 91-52 win over NJIT. DJ Armstrong's team-leading 14 points led UMBC in the win. New Hampshire took care of business in its last matchup 88-83 in OT against Bryant on Tuesday. Belal El Shakery's team-high 23 points paced New Hampshire in the win.

UMBC vs. New Hampshire Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, March 7, 2026 at 1 p.m. ET
• Where: Chesapeake Employers Insurance Arena in Baltimore, Maryland
• Spread favorite: UMBC -12.5
• Moneyline favorite: UMBC -1149
• Moneyline underdog: New Hampshire +710
• Over/Under: 138.5 points

How to watch UMBC vs. New Hampshire

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: UMBC vs. New Hampshire

• This season, 17 of UMBC's 27 games have gone over Saturday's over/under of 138.5 points.
• This season, 16 games New Hampshire has played finished with a combined score over 138.5 points.
• Together, the two teams combine for 144.7 points per game, 6.2 points more than the point total of 138.5 for this matchup.
• This matchup's over/under is 2.9 less than the 141.4 points these two teams combine to give up per game.
• On average, UMBC has had a 142.7-point over/under in its games this season, 4.2 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
• New Hampshire's games have an average over/under of 143.5 points this season, five more points than the over/under for this game.

Betting the Spread: UMBC vs. New Hampshire

• Against the spread, UMBC is 16-11-0 this year.
• The Retrievers have been favored by 12.5 points or more two times this season and have covered the spread in all of them.
• New Hampshire is 12-15-0 against the spread this year.
• The Wildcats have an against the spread record of 4-2 in their six games when underdogs by 12.5 points or more this season.
• UMBC is 6-6 against the spread, and 10-2 overall, at home this season.
• At home, as a 12.5-point favorite or greater, UMBC is unbeaten ATS (2-0).
• New Hampshire is 8-8 against the spread, and 1-15 overall, in away games.

Betting the Moneyline: UMBC vs. New Hampshire

• UMBC has entered the game as moneyline favorites 18 times this season and won 16, or 88.9%, of those games.
• The Retrievers have played as a favorite of -1149 or more once this season and won that game.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 92% chance of a victory for UMBC.
• New Hampshire has won in two, or 11.8%, of the 17 contests it has been named as the moneyline underdog this year.
• This season, the Wildcats have been a moneyline underdog of -1149 or more six times, losing every contest.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies New Hampshire has a 12.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.