UCF vs. Baylor Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 28

The UCF Knights (20-7, 9-6 Big 12) host the Baylor Bears (14-14, 4-11 Big 12) at Addition Financial Arena, beginning at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 28, 2026. The Knights are 1.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup's point total is set at 159.5.

UCF won its most recent matchup 97-84 against BYU on Tuesday. In the win, Jordan Burks paced UCF with 24 points. Baylor's last contest on Tuesday ended in an 87-80 loss to Arizona. Cameron Carr scored 26 points in Baylor's loss, leading the team.

UCF vs. Baylor Odds and Game Time

• When: Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: Addition Financial Arena in Orlando, Florida
• Spread favorite: UCF -1.5
• Moneyline favorite: UCF -126
• Moneyline underdog: Baylor +104
• Over/Under: 159.5 points

How to watch UCF vs. Baylor

• TV Channel: Fox Sports 1
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: UCF vs. Baylor

• A total of 13 of UCF's games this season have gone over Saturday's total of 159.5 points.
• There have been 14 Baylor games that finished with a combined score higher than 159.5 points this season.
• The over/under for the matchup of 159.5 is 5.0 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Knights (82.0 points per game) and the Bears (82.5 points per game).
• These two teams give up a combined 154.1 points per game, 5.4 less than this contest's over/under.
• This season the average over/under for UCF's games is 159.4 points, 0.1 fewer than the over/under of 159.5 set for this contest.
• Baylor's games have an average over/under of 159.3 points this season, 0.2 fewer points than the over/under for this game.

Betting the Spread: UCF vs. Baylor

• In UCF's 27 games this season, it has 14 wins against the spread.
• This season, the Knights have an against-the-spread record of 4-8 in their 12 games as a favorite of 1.5 points or more.
• Baylor is 11-16-0 against the spread this year.
• This year, the Bears have an ATS record of 3-9 in their 12 games as an underdog of 1.5 points or more.
• UCF is 13-3 overall, and 8-8 against the spread, at home.
• This year, as a 1.5-point favorite or more at home, UCF is 4-7 ATS.
• This year in away games, Baylor is 3-5 against the spread and 2-6 overall.
• Baylor has one win ATS (1-2) away from home as 1.5-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: UCF vs. Baylor

• This season, UCF has been moneyline favorites 12 times and won 11, or 91.7%, of those games.
• The Knights have entered 12 games this season favored by -126 or more and are 11-1 in those contests.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that UCF has a 55.8% chance to win.
• Baylor has won in one, or 8.3%, of the 12 contests it has been named as the moneyline underdog this year.
• This year, the Bears have won one of 12 games when listed as at least +104 or worse on the moneyline.
• Baylor has an implied victory probability of 49% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Dunkel Index Prediction for UCF vs. Baylor

• Pick ATS: UCF (- 1.5)
• Pick OU: Under (159.5)
  
• Prediction: UCF 80 - Baylor 78