Troy vs. UL Monroe Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 27

The Troy Trojans (19-11, 11-6 Sun Belt) are big favorites, by 18.5 points, over the UL Monroe Warhawks (4-26, 1-16 Sun Belt) on February 27, 2026 at Trojan Arena. The Warhawks are sputtering right now, having lost six in a row and going 1-9 in their past 10 games. The matchup's point total is 156.5.

Troy enters this matchup after a 78-59 win over Louisiana on Tuesday. Jerrell Bellamy's team-high 25 points led Troy in the victory. UL Monroe fell in its most recent matchup 89-54 against South Alabama on Wednesday. UL Monroe got a team-high 20 points from Krystian Lewis in the loss.

Troy vs. UL Monroe Odds and Game Time

• When: Friday, February 27, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
• Where: Trojan Arena in Troy, Alabama
• Spread favorite: Troy -18.5
• Moneyline favorite: Troy -3226
• Moneyline underdog: UL Monroe +1325
• Over/Under: 156.5 points

How to watch Troy vs. UL Monroe

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Troy vs. UL Monroe

• A total of 12 of Troy's games this season have gone over Friday's over/under of 156.5 points.
• This season, 15 of UL Monroe's games have ended with a combined score higher than 156.5 points.
• Together, the two teams combine for 152.9 points per game, 3.6 points fewer than the over/under of 156.5 for this matchup.
• The 157.8 points per game these two teams allow their opponents to score combined this season are 1.3 more than the 156.5-point total in this contest.
• Troy has seen a 154.3 average over/under in its games this season, 2.2 less than the over/under in this matchup.
• The over/under for this contest is 0.1 points more than the average over/under in UL Monroe's games this season (156.4 points).

Betting the Spread: Troy vs. UL Monroe

• Troy has played 28 games, with 15 wins against the spread.
• The Trojans have been favored by 18.5 points or more one time this season and have not covered the spread in any of them.
• Against the spread, UL Monroe is 15-13-0 this season.
• The Warhawks are 3-3 ATS when underdogs by 18.5 points or more this season.
• Troy is 7-3 overall, and 7-3 against the spread, at home.
• UL Monroe is 7-8 against the spread, and 1-14 overall, in away games.

Betting the Moneyline: Troy vs. UL Monroe

• Troy has been the moneyline favorite in 20 games this season and won 12 (60%) of those contests.
• The Trojans have played as a favorite of -3226 or more once this season and won that game.
• The implied probability of a win from Troy, based on the moneyline, is 97%.
• UL Monroe has come away with one win in the 25 contests it has been listed as the moneyline underdog this season.
• The Warhawks have won all of their four games in which they were named as at least a +1325 moneyline underdog.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies UL Monroe has a 7% chance of walking away with the win.