Texas State vs. Appalachian State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 27

In a contest featuring one of the hottest teams in college basketball, the Appalachian State Mountaineers (19-11, 11-6 Sun Belt) play the Texas State Bobcats (18-12, 10-7 Sun Belt) at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center on February 27, 2026. The Mountaineers are 8-2 in their past 10 games, but the Bobcats are favorites by 1.5 points. The matchup has a point total of 133.5.

Texas State enters this contest after a 67-54 loss to Louisiana on Saturday. DJ Hall's team-high 18 points paced Texas State in the losing effort. Appalachian State took care of business in its most recent outing 89-74 against Georgia Southern on Saturday. Luke Wilson scored 19 points in Appalachian State's win, leading the team.

Texas State vs. Appalachian State Odds and Game Time

• When: Friday, February 27, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: Strahan Arena at the University Events Center in San Marcos, Texas
• Spread favorite: Texas State -1.5
• Moneyline favorite: Texas State -121
• Moneyline underdog: Appalachian State -101
• Over/Under: 133.5 points

How to watch Texas State vs. Appalachian State

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Texas State vs. Appalachian State

• A total of 21 of Texas State's games this season have gone over Friday's total of 133.5 points.
• There have been 12 Appalachian State games that ended with a combined score higher than 133.5 points this season.
• The over/under for the matchup of 133.5 is 13.3 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Bobcats (74.3) and Mountaineers (72.5).
• These two teams give up a combined 136.7 points per game, 3.2 more than this contest's over/under.
• This season, the average over/under for Texas State's games is 145.4 points, 11.9 more than the total of 133.5 points set for this contest.
• A difference of 4.6 points separates the average over/under in Appalachian State's games (138.1 points) and this contest's over/under (133.5).

Betting the Spread: Texas State vs. Appalachian State

• Against the spread, Texas State is 15-13-0 this year.
• So far this season, the Bobcats have been installed as favorites by a 1.5-point margin or more 14 times and are 8-6 ATS in those matchups.
• Against the spread, Appalachian State is 18-10-0 this year.
• This year, the Mountaineers have an against-the-spread record of 6-2 in their eight games as an underdog of 1.5 points or more.
• Texas State is 10-4 against the spread, and 13-1 overall, at home.
• As a 1.5-point favorite or greater at home, Texas State is 8-3 ATS.
• This year on the road, Appalachian State is 9-4 against the spread and 7-6 overall.
• This year, as 1.5-point underdogs or more away from home, Appalachian State is 4-2 ATS.

Betting the Moneyline: Texas State vs. Appalachian State

• This season, Texas State has won 12 out of the 14 games, or 85.7%, in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
• This season, the Bobcats have won 11 of their 13 games, or 84.6%, when favored by at least -121 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.8% chance of a victory for Texas State.
• Appalachian State has been a moneyline underdog in nine games this season and has come away with the win four times (44.4%) in those contests.
• This season, the Mountaineers have been victorious three times in six chances when named as an underdog of at least -101 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Appalachian State has a 50.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Texas State vs. Appalachian State

• Pick ATS: Appalachian State (+ 1.5)
• Pick OU: Over (133.5)
  
• Prediction: Appalachian State 76 - Texas State 73