Texas Southern vs. Mississippi Valley State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 21
21 February 2026

In a matchup featuring one of the sputtering teams in college basketball, the Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils (1-26, 0-13 SWAC) face the Texas Southern Tigers (10-15, 8-6 SWAC) at Harrison HPER Complex on February 21, 2026. The Delta Devils have lost 25 in a row and are 0-10 in their past 10 games. They enter this matchup as underdogs by 11.5 points. The matchup's point total is set at 143.5.
Texas Southern is coming off of an 83-64 victory against UAPB in its most recent game on Thursday. In Texas Southern's win, Jaylen Wysinger led the way with a team-high 25 points (adding one rebound and seven assists). Mississippi Valley State is coming off of a 72-62 loss to Prairie View A&M in its most recent game on Thursday. Michael James scored 20 points in Mississippi Valley State's loss, leading the team.
Texas Southern vs. Mississippi Valley State Odds and Game Time
- When: Saturday, February 21, 2026 at 6 p.m. ET
- Where: Harrison HPER Complex in Itta Bena, Mississippi
- Spread favorite: Texas Southern -11.5
- Moneyline favorite: Texas Southern -840
- Moneyline underdog: Mississippi Valley State +566
- Over/Under: 143.5 points
How to watch Texas Southern vs. Mississippi Valley State
- TV Channel: SWAC TV
- Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!
Betting the Over/Under: Texas Southern vs. Mississippi Valley State
- This season, 16 of Texas Southern's 23 games have gone over Saturday's over/under of 143.5 points.
- This season, 16 of Mississippi Valley State's games have ended with a combined score higher than 143.5 points.
- The Tigers average 74.9 points per game against the Delta Devils' 63.8, totaling 4.8 points under the game's point total of 143.5.
- This matchup's point total is 19.9 fewer points than the 163.4 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2024.
- On average, Texas Southern has seen a 153.6-point over/under in its games this season, 10.1 more points than the over/under in this contest.
- Mississippi Valley State's games have an average over/under of 148.5 points this season, 5.0 more points than the over/under for this game.
Betting the Spread: Texas Southern vs. Mississippi Valley State
- Texas Southern has played 23 games, with eight wins against the spread.
- This season, the Tigers won ATS in their only game as a favorite of 11.5 points or more.
- Mississippi Valley State is 12-14-0 against the spread this season.
- This year, the Delta Devils have an ATS record of 11-9 in their 20 games as an underdog of 11.5 points or more.
- At home this season, Mississippi Valley State has two wins against the spread and is 0-9 overall.
- Texas Southern is 3-11 overall, and 3-11 against the spread, in away games.
Betting the Moneyline: Texas Southern vs. Mississippi Valley State
- Texas Southern has entered the game as moneyline favorites five times this season and won three of those games.
- The Tigers have played as a favorite of -840 or more once this season and won that game.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Texas Southern has a 89.4% chance to win.
- Mississippi Valley State has been moneyline underdogs in 19 games this season, however, it has failed to come away with a win in any of those games.
- This season, the Delta Devils have been a moneyline underdog of -840 or more 13 times, losing every contest.
- Mississippi Valley State has an implied victory probability of 15% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
