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Texas Southern vs. Alcorn State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - Feb. 26

26 February 2026 By Data Skrive

The Texas Southern Tigers (10-16, 8-7 SWAC) host the Alcorn State Braves (7-19, 6-8 SWAC) at H&PE Arena, beginning at 8 p.m. ET on Thursday, February 26, 2026. The Braves are 6.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup's over/under is set at 148.5.

Texas Southern heads into this game on the heels of a 72-71 loss to Mississippi Valley State on Saturday. Duane Posey's team-leading 17 points paced Texas Southern in the loss. Alcorn State is coming off of an 83-65 victory over Jackson State in its most recent game on Saturday. Tycen McDaniels' team-leading 25 points paced Alcorn State in the win.

Texas Southern vs. Alcorn State Odds and Game Time

  • When: Thursday, February 26, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
  • Where: H&PE Arena in Houston, Texas
  • Spread favorite: Texas Southern -6.5
  • Moneyline favorite: Texas Southern -312
  • Moneyline underdog: Alcorn State +242
  • Over/Under: 148.5 points

How to watch Texas Southern vs. Alcorn State

Betting the Over/Under: Texas Southern vs. Alcorn State

  • A total of 12 of Texas Southern's games this season have gone over Thursday's total of 148.5 points.
  • This season, 11 games Alcorn State has played finished with a combined score over 148.5 points.
  • Together, the two teams combine for 142.3 points per game, 6.2 points fewer than the over/under of 148.5 for this game.
  • The 160.2 points per game these two teams allow their opponents to score combined this season are 11.7 more than the 148.5-point over/under in this contest.
  • On average, Texas Southern has had a 153.2-point over/under in its games this season, 4.7 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
  • Alcorn State's games have an average over/under of 149.2 points this season, 0.7 more points than the over/under for this contest.
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Betting the Spread: Texas Southern vs. Alcorn State

  • In Texas Southern's 24 games this year, it has eight wins against the spread.
  • The Tigers have been favored by 6.5 points or more two times this season and covered the spread in one of them.
  • Against the spread, Alcorn State is 16-10-0 this year.
  • So far this year, the Braves have been installed as underdogs by a 6.5-point margin or more 19 times and are 11-8 ATS in those games.
  • Texas Southern is 5-4 against the spread, and 5-4 overall, at home this year.
  • Texas Southern is unbeaten ATS (1-0) as a 6.5-point favorite or greater at home.
  • This year in away games, Alcorn State is 10-8 against the spread and 2-16 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: Texas Southern vs. Alcorn State

  • This season, Texas Southern has been moneyline favorites six times and won three of those games.
  • The Tigers have played as a favorite of -312 or more twice this season and split those games.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 75.7% chance of a victory for Texas Southern.
  • Alcorn State has been victorious in six, or 26.1%, of the 23 contests it has been chosen as a moneyline underdog in this season.
  • This year, the Braves have won four of 17 games when listed as at least +242 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Alcorn State has an implied victory probability of 29.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Texas Southern vs. Alcorn State

  • Pick ATS: Texas Southern (- 6.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (148.5)
  • Prediction: Texas Southern 79 - Alcorn State 66

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