Tarleton State vs. UT Arlington Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - March 5

The Tarleton State Texans (14-16, 5-12 WAC) host the UT Arlington Mavericks (15-13, 7-9 WAC) at EECU Center, beginning at 8 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 5, 2026. The Mavericks are 1.5-point underdogs in the game. The point total is 136.5 in the matchup.

In its last outing on Saturday, Tarleton State suffered an 82-67 loss to Cal Baptist. In Tarleton State's loss, Dior Johnson led the way with a team-high 24 points (adding four rebounds and three assists). UT Arlington is coming off of a 68-56 loss to Cal Baptist in its most recent outing on Thursday. Casmir Chavis scored a team-high 15 points for UT Arlington in the loss.

Tarleton State vs. UT Arlington Odds and Game Time

• When: Thursday, March 5, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: EECU Center in Stephenville, Texas
• Spread favorite: Tarleton State -1.5
• Moneyline favorite: Tarleton State -132
• Moneyline underdog: UT Arlington +110
• Over/Under: 136.5 points

How to watch Tarleton State vs. UT Arlington

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Tarleton State vs. UT Arlington

• A total of 17 of Tarleton State's games this season have gone over Thursday's total of 136.5 points.
• This season, 12 games UT Arlington has played finished with a combined score higher than 136.5 points.
• The over/under for the contest of 136.5 is 9.0 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Texans (74.9 points per game) and the Mavericks (70.6 points per game).
• This matchup's over/under is 4.2 fewer points than the 140.7 these two teams combine to give up per game in 2024.
• On average, Tarleton State has seen a 148.2-point over/under in its games this season, 11.7 more points than the over/under in this matchup.
• The over/under for this game is 1.5 points lower than the average over/under in UT Arlington's games this season of 138.0.

Betting the Spread: Tarleton State vs. UT Arlington

• Tarleton State has 14 wins against the spread in 26 games this year.
• This season, the Texans have an ATS record of 7-5 in their 12 games as a favorite of 1.5 points or more.
• Against the spread, UT Arlington is 13-13-0 this season.
• This year, the Mavericks have an ATS record of 5-10 in their 15 games as an underdog of 1.5 points or more.
• Tarleton State is 5-6 against the spread, and 6-5 overall, at home.
• At home, as a 1.5-point favorite or more, Tarleton State is 5-4 ATS.
• UT Arlington is 6-8 against the spread, and 6-8 overall, on the road.
• UT Arlington is unbeaten ATS (2-0) on the road as 1.5-point underdogs or more.

Betting the Moneyline: Tarleton State vs. UT Arlington

• Tarleton State has been the moneyline favorite in 12 games this season and won eight (66.7%) of those contests.
• The Texans have entered seven games this season favored by -132 or more and are 5-2 in those contests.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Tarleton State has a 56.9% chance to win.
• UT Arlington has come away with five wins in the 15 contests it has been listed as the moneyline underdog this season.
• This season, the Mavericks have come away with a win four times in 11 chances when named as an underdog of at least +110 or longer on the moneyline.
• UT Arlington has an implied victory probability of 47.6% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.