Southeast Missouri State vs. Morehead State Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - OVC Tournament
06 March 2026

The No. 3 seed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks (20-12, 14-6 OVC) are favored by 1.5 points in the OVC Tournament when they face off the No. 2 seed Morehead State Eagles (19-12, 15-5 OVC) Friday at Ford Center, beginning at 10:30 p.m. ET on ESPNU. The winner moves one game closer to claiming a guaranteed place in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The point total in the matchup is set at 143.5.
In its most recent matchup on Thursday, Southeast Missouri State claimed a 68-66 victory over Lindenwood. Braxton Stacker scored a team-high 16 points for Southeast Missouri State in the win. Morehead State came out on top in its last matchup 76-70 against Little Rock on Thursday. George Marshall's team-high 28 points paced Morehead State in the win.
Southeast Missouri State vs. Morehead State Odds and Game Time
- When: Friday, March 6, 2026 at 10:30 p.m. ET
- Where: Ford Center in Evansville, Indiana
- Spread favorite: Southeast Missouri State -1.5
- Moneyline favorite: Southeast Missouri State -135
- Moneyline underdog: Morehead State +110
- Over/Under: 143.5 points
How to watch Southeast Missouri State vs. Morehead State
- TV Channel: ESPNU
- Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!
Betting the Over/Under: Southeast Missouri State vs. Morehead State
- This season, Southeast Missouri State and its opponents have combined to outscore Friday's total of 143.5 points 17 times.
- A total of 13 of Morehead State's games have ended with a combined score higher than 143.5 points this season.
- The total for the matchup of 143.5 is 7.3 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Redhawks (75.0) and Eagles (75.8).
- This matchup's point total is 1.9 fewer points than the 145.4 these two teams combine to give up per game in 2024.
- This season, the average over/under for Southeast Missouri State's games is 145.8 points, 2.3 more than the total of 143.5 points set for this contest.
- Morehead State's games have an average over/under of 150.4 points this season, 6.9 more points than the over/under for this game.
Betting the Spread: Southeast Missouri State vs. Morehead State
- Southeast Missouri State has played 29 games, with 14 wins against the spread.
- The Redhawks are 9-11 ATS when favored by 1.5 points or more this season.
- Morehead State has 17 wins against the spread in 28 games this year.
- The Eagles have an against the spread record of 11-8 in their 19 games when underdogs by 1.5 points or more this season.
- At home this year, Morehead State is 8-2 overall and 7-3 against the spread.
- At home, Morehead State is 4-2 ATS as a 1.5-point underdog or greater.
- In away games, Southeast Missouri State is 8-7 overall and 8-7 against the spread.
- This season Southeast Missouri State is 3-4 ATS as 1.5-point favorites or more on the road.
Betting the Moneyline: Southeast Missouri State vs. Morehead State
- This season, Southeast Missouri State has won 14 out of the 21 games, or 66.7%, in which it has been the moneyline favorite.
- The Redhawks have a record of 12-6, a 66.7% win rate, when favored by -135 or more by bookmakers this season.
- The implied probability of a win from Southeast Missouri State, based on the moneyline, is 57.4%.
- Morehead State has come away with seven wins in the 18 contests it has been listed as the moneyline underdog this season.
- This season, the Eagles have come away with a win four times in 15 chances when named as an underdog of at least +110 or longer on the moneyline.
- Morehead State has an implied victory probability of 47.6% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
