Siena vs. Rider Dunkel Predictions & Vegas Odds - March 1

The Siena Saints (19-11, 12-7 MAAC) are strongly favored, by 14.5 points, over the Rider Broncs (4-24, 3-16 MAAC) on March 1, 2026 at MVP Arena. The Broncs are sputtering right now, going 2-8 in their past 10 games. The matchup has a point total of 137.5.

In its last time out, Siena lost 72-58 to Fairfield on Friday. In Siena's loss, Gavin Doty led the way with a team-high 26 points (adding seven rebounds and one assist). Rider's most recent outing on Friday ended in an 80-58 loss to Iona. Rider got a team-leading 25 points from Zion Cruz in the loss.

Siena vs. Rider Odds and Game Time

• When: Sunday, March 1, 2026 at 2 p.m. ET
• Where: MVP Arena in Albany, New York
• Spread favorite: Siena -14.5
• Moneyline favorite: Siena -1562
• Moneyline underdog: Rider +853
• Over/Under: 137.5 points

How to watch Siena vs. Rider

• TV Channel: ESPN+
• Check out the rest of our Dunkel Index NCAA Basketball Picks!

Betting the Over/Under: Siena vs. Rider

• Siena and its opponents have combined to go over Sunday's over/under of 137.5 points 14 times this season.
• This season, 12 of Rider's games have ended with a combined score higher than 137.5 points.
• The Saints average 70.6 points per game and the Broncs score 63.5, which is 3.4 points under the matchup's over/under of 137.5.
• This game's total is 5.1 fewer points than the 142.6 these two teams combine to allow per game in 2024.
• On average, the over/under in Siena's games is 0.2 fewer points than the over/under of 137.5 in this contest.
• Rider's games have an average over/under of 139.5 points this season, 2.0 more points than the over/under for this matchup.

Betting the Spread: Siena vs. Rider

• Siena has 16 wins against the spread in 30 games this season.
• The Saints covered the spread in their only game when favored by 14.5 points or more.
• Rider is 8-19-0 against the spread this year.
• The Broncs have been underdogs by 14.5 points or more six times this year and covered the spread once.
• At home this season, Siena is 8-4 overall and 6-6 against the spread.
• At home, Siena is unbeaten ATS (1-0) as a 14.5-point favorite or more.
• In away games, Rider is 5-10 against the spread, and 0-15 overall.

Betting the Moneyline: Siena vs. Rider

• Siena has been the moneyline favorite in 25 games this season and won 18 (72%) of those contests.
• The Saints have played as a favorite of -1562 or more once this season and won that game.
• Siena has a 94% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Rider has been a moneyline underdog in 24 games this season and has come away with the win three times (12.5%) in those contests.
• The Broncs have won all of their five games in which they were named as at least a +853 moneyline underdog.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies Rider has a 10.5% chance of walking away with the win.

Dunkel Index Prediction for Siena vs. Rider

• Pick ATS: Siena (- 14.5)
• Pick OU: Over (137.5)
  
• Prediction: Siena 81 - Rider 60